NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	8.2 [215]		MVP	Mike Miller (ORL): +16.2%
Orlando Magic	97		Comeback	3.3 [722]		LVP	Latrell Sprewell (NYK): -24.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Jackson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.06	0.01	10	40%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	-0.02	16	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Lavor Postell	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.00	4	70%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Travis Knight	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Kurt Thomas	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.01	17	49%	0.05	3	-0.13	7	57%	-0.02
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.06	-0.06	0.01	12	46%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.07	0.00	5	44%	-0.08	3	-0.09	6	50%	-0.07
Latrell Sprewell	-0.24	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24	-0.13	-0.14	-0.03	14	44%	-0.09	5	-0.16	6	100%	0.03

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	-0.02	0.16	-0.02	14	50%	0.21	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Monty Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.00	5	80%	0.14	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.02	0.01	23	58%	0.10	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.02
Jud Buechler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	3	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Don Reid	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.02	-0.01	10	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	37%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.03	-0.10	0.01	12	56%	0.00	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	13	46%	-0.00	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	30.4	16.7	26.5	2.0	26.3	128.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +40.7%

NYK -2.1%

ORL +0.0%

ORL +12.9%

NYK -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	16.2	13.8	15.6	93.8	101.0	102.3
season	15.9	14.6		99.6	104.6
opponent	15.8	15.6		103.3	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	18.1	12.4	16.4	19.1	16.2
ORL	13.2	12.9	13.1	16.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavor Postell	25	25	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.00	10	-17	27	14.3	16.8	-2.55	13.0	14.1	-1.07
Othella Harrington	18	17	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-8	9	17.6	15.8	1.78	15.1	13.6	1.49
Felton Spencer	10	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-8	9	13.9	16.4	-2.53	9.9	14.2	-4.32
Travis Knight	6	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-7	7	12.3	16.4	-4.09	13.9	13.8	0.05
Charlie Ward	41	41	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.29	2	-9	11	13.9	17.9	-3.95	14.0	13.7	0.21
Mark Jackson	55	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	2	-11	17.9	13.9	3.95	13.7	14.0	-0.21
Latrell Sprewell	93	93	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	-1	-5	16.4	7.7	8.77	13.9	12.7	1.20
Kurt Thomas	86	88	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	1	-9	16.4	13.9	2.53	14.2	9.9	4.32
Clar. Weatherspoon	72	71	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.32	-8	1	-9	16.1	16.3	-0.17	13.5	14.7	-1.14
Shandon Anderson	74	74	-0.82	0.32	-1.13	-0.29	-18	11	-29	16.5	15.2	1.28	14.1	13.1	0.96

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	73	76	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.22	15	-8	23	13.8	13.9	-0.05	17.3	11.9	5.33
Pat Garrity	73	75	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.32	11	-4	15	13.4	15.3	-1.88	16.4	15.2	1.19
Mike Miller	69	71	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.25	11	-4	15	13.4	14.8	-1.37	15.6	17.7	-2.10
Don Reid	52	51	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.27	3	4	-1	14.2	13.4	0.83	16.2	16.1	0.10
Darrell Armstrong	60	61	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	5	-3	13.8	13.9	-0.13	16.1	16.2	-0.05
Troy Hudson	37	35	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	3	1	13.6	14.0	-0.39	16.2	16.1	0.05
Andrew DeClercq	39	35	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.04	4	3	1	14.0	13.7	0.28	15.5	16.6	-1.07
Jud Buechler	7	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	9	-11	14.3	13.8	0.49	13.4	16.3	-2.92
Patrick Ewing	28	31	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	11	-15	14.1	13.7	0.34	16.2	16.1	0.09
Monty Williams	42	40	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.09	-9	16	-25	14.7	13.2	1.52	15.4	16.7	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.55,0.63,0.83,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 73, DET 76	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.48,0.55,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.66,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.46,0.64,0.45,0.84,0.91,1	92.0%
DEN 81, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.32,0.41,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.9,0.95,1	91.7%
UTA 99, PHX 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.99,1	91.6%