NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	94		Excitement	8.5 [147]		MVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): +65.2%
Toronto Raptors	92		Comeback	16.3 [89]		LVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): -28.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.41	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.09,-0.01,-0.05,-0.21,-0.21,0.41	-0.02	0.39	-0.03	23	50%	0.51	4	-0.10	8	75%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0.27	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.27	0.07	0.21	0.00	4	90%	0.29	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Goudelock	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bynum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	13	50%	0.09	3	-0.13	2	0%	-0.03
Matt Barnes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	5	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	15	47%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.04

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.65	0.65	0.22	0.46	0.02	18	83%	0.68	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.05	0.10	-0.01	6	64%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	11	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Rasual Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	8	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	40%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	5	40%	0.03	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,-0.1	-0.10	0.04	-0.12	0.01	11	62%	0.12	2	-0.22	2	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29	-0.29	-0.17	-0.13	-0.02	13	26%	-0.18	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.7	30.2	18.3	28.4	1.8	39.2	143.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +13.4%

LAL +3.0%

LAL +12.3%

LAL +24.3%

TOR -2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	TOR	NBA	LAL	TOR	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.6	101.1	98.9	102.8
season	16.2	16.5		103.8	98.9
opponent	15.2	15.1		102.9	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.4	17.9	14.5	16.1	15.4
TOR	14.8	15.6	16.1	15.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Pau Gasol	71	71	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.37	8	-6	14	15.8	14.2	1.53	15.6	15.6	-0.03
Kobe Bryant	69	69	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.31	7	-5	12	15.2	16.0	-0.76	15.0	17.1	-2.04
Metta World Peace	52	54	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.29	7	-5	12	15.1	15.7	-0.60	14.7	16.7	-1.98
Steve Blake	56	56	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.49	-2	4	-6	15.2	15.7	-0.51	15.5	15.6	-0.13
Jason Kapono	1	0	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.14	1	1	0	1.0	15.6	-14.55	0.0	15.6	-15.57
Matt Barnes	37	37	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.23	-5	7	-12	14.9	15.7	-0.89	15.6	15.5	0.13
Troy Murphy	38	39	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	4	-6	15.5	15.3	0.17	15.7	15.5	0.21
Andrew Bynum	74	73	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.16	-3	5	-8	15.6	14.8	0.76	16.0	13.8	2.19
Derek Fisher	37	37	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.05	4	-2	6	15.7	15.2	0.51	15.6	15.5	0.13
Andrew Goudelock	30	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	7	-12	16.1	15.1	0.99	16.9	15.0	1.98

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	25	26	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.16	12	-14	26	16.0	15.4	0.59	18.2	14.3	3.93
Linas Kleiza	53	53	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.27	15	-17	32	15.5	15.7	-0.23	15.8	14.9	0.83
Anthony Carter	20	20	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.04	1	-3	4	16.9	15.2	1.76	15.1	15.5	-0.32
Leandro Barbosa	32	30	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.11	3	-5	8	15.7	15.5	0.13	14.6	15.8	-1.18
Rasual Butler	0	1	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.14	-1	-1	0	0.0	15.6	-15.57	1.0	15.6	-14.55
Ed Davis	55	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.26	3	-5	8	15.7	15.3	0.43	15.5	15.3	0.14
Amir Johnson	33	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.15	-11	9	-20	16.0	15.3	0.71	14.8	15.7	-0.89
Aaron Gray	51	51	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	9	-20	16.0	15.0	1.04	15.0	15.9	-0.97
Jose Calderon	73	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.40	-3	1	-4	15.2	16.9	-1.76	15.5	15.1	0.32
DeMar DeRozan	71	73	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.48	-4	2	-6	15.5	15.7	-0.21	15.8	13.8	2.04
James Johnson	52	51	-0.87	0.37	-1.23	-0.46	-14	12	-26	14.5	16.9	-2.34	14.5	16.5	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.19,0.25,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.29,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.28,0.31,0.45,0.78,0.91,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 85, ORL 83	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.22,0.3,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.46,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.24,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.67,0.83,0	90.4%
LAL 104, GSW 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.35,0.28,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.21,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.3,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.47,0.58,0	88.8%
LAL 99, HOU 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.17,0.21,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.14,0.19,0.18,0.13,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.41,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.45,0.52,0.78,0.9,0.84,0	88.6%