NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Excitement	5.4 [597]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +11.0%
Utah Jazz	87		Comeback	1.8 [533]		LVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): -15.7%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	10	73%	0.15	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Serge Ibaka	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.02	-0.02	10	67%	0.13	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Nazr Mohammed	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	4	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	20	58%	0.12	4	-0.11	8	87%	0.02
James Harden	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.04	-0.01	8	46%	0.06	3	-0.07	8	75%	-0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.04	5	71%	0.01	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Daequan Cook	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	9	17%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.00	0.04	5	108%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	43%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Devin Harris	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	7	69%	0.09	4	-0.13	2	50%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	0.03	18	51%	-0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	15	31%	-0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.8	28.5	18.6	27.3	2.7	30.3	136.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +11.3%

OKC +23.6%

OKC +12.7%

OKC +1.8%

OKC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	UTA	NBA	OKC	UTA	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.6	108.6	90.6	102.8
season	14.7	15.8		107.9	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.8		104.7	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	13.6	14.6	15.9	17.3	15.3
UTA	14.1	14.8	17.6	14.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	66	68	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.01	17	-3	20	14.6	17.0	-2.44	15.5	14.4	1.15
Serge Ibaka	64	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	-4	22	15.1	15.6	-0.41	15.7	14.1	1.56
Kevin Durant	74	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.02	14	0	14	15.0	16.5	-1.51	15.0	16.0	-1.00
Kendrick Perkins	62	63	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.01	14	0	14	14.6	16.5	-1.87	15.0	15.6	-0.56
James Harden	67	69	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	1	12	15.5	14.6	0.96	15.0	15.8	-0.79
Daequan Cook	45	47	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.15	1	13	-12	15.4	15.2	0.21	15.9	14.6	1.30
Nazr Mohammed	27	28	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.08	1	13	-12	16.0	15.0	1.03	15.0	15.3	-0.24
Nick Collison	33	35	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.20	-5	19	-24	16.1	14.8	1.27	14.8	15.5	-0.69
Reggie Jackson	27	28	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	17	-20	17.0	14.6	2.44	14.4	15.5	-1.15

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	33	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.03	-8	-6	-2	15.5	15.1	0.38	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Derrick Favors	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-9	4	15.3	15.2	0.07	16.1	14.9	1.13
Enes Kanter	27	27	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	-9	4	15.3	15.2	0.07	16.1	14.9	1.13
CJ Miles	39	37	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-7	0	14.7	15.5	-0.78	15.7	15.0	0.77
Devin Harris	54	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.06	-6	-8	2	15.1	15.4	-0.35	15.2	15.4	-0.24
Earl Watson	41	38	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-6	-2	15.6	14.9	0.70	15.4	15.2	0.21
Raja Bell	58	57	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-7	0	15.4	14.9	0.43	15.0	15.7	-0.74
Al Jefferson	69	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-5	-4	15.2	15.3	-0.07	14.9	16.1	-1.13
Paul Millsap	69	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-5	-4	15.2	15.3	-0.07	14.9	16.1	-1.13
Gordon Hayward	63	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-6	-8	2	15.1	15.5	-0.38	15.4	14.9	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.42,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.24,0.15,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 97, NYK 73	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.56,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.26,0.4,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.12,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.9%
SAS 96, UTA 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.5%
IND 90, ORL 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.15,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0	93.5%