NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	100		Excitement	6.1 [474]		MVP	Gary Neal (SAS): +23.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	90		Comeback	1.2 [455]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (PHI): -17.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.06	0.00	9	90%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tony Parker	0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17	0.13	0.06	0.01	24	61%	0.25	3	-0.08	13	100%	0.07
Tiago Splitter	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.01	10	65%	0.16	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.04
Tim Duncan	0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	16	42%	0.09	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Matt Bonner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Danny Green	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	5	0%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.11	0.02	0.00	11	73%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	12	61%	0.05	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.00	15	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.02	20	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	13	41%	-0.03	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.6	28.4	14.8	27.0	2.6	28.5	126.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +38.4%

SAS +22.4%

PHI -17.8%

SAS +4.5%

SAS +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHI	NBA	SAS	PHI	NBA
this game	16.2	15.6	15.6	111.1	98.9	102.8
season	15.3	15.6		109.1	101.0
opponent	16.1	15.2		97.6	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	15.5	14.1	15.7	20.0	16.2
PHI	14.0	17.2	17.8	13.6	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Neal	55	56	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.13	13	-3	16	16.4	16.0	0.38	16.5	14.2	2.31
Matt Bonner	49	51	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.22	6	4	2	15.8	16.8	-0.96	14.8	16.6	-1.89
Danny Green	58	60	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	-2	14	15.7	17.2	-1.53	16.4	14.0	2.42
Tim Duncan	54	54	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.06	9	1	8	16.9	15.3	1.55	16.3	14.5	1.82
Tony Parker	72	72	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	4	2	16.5	15.3	1.19	14.4	20.3	-5.90
Kawhi Leonard	43	43	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.04	8	2	6	15.0	17.3	-2.27	16.1	15.1	0.95
Tiago Splitter	34	35	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	8	-6	14.8	17.1	-2.31	15.3	15.8	-0.50
DeJuan Blair	33	32	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	9	-8	16.5	16.1	0.35	17.3	14.7	2.60
Richard Jefferson	52	52	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.11	-7	17	-24	17.9	13.9	3.96	14.2	17.5	-3.27

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	72	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.23	3	-13	16	15.2	17.1	-1.91	16.7	14.4	2.30
Thaddeus Young	61	60	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.19	1	-11	12	14.7	17.4	-2.65	16.6	15.5	1.15
Louis Williams	56	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-10	10	14.4	17.5	-3.07	16.4	16.0	0.34
Evan Turner	37	36	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	-1	-8	15.5	15.7	-0.23	14.7	17.3	-2.61
Nikola Vucevic	27	27	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-1	-8	18.9	14.2	4.74	16.0	16.3	-0.28
Andre Iguodala	66	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.09	-8	-2	-6	15.4	16.2	-0.84	16.5	15.5	1.06
Jodie Meeks	45	46	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	3	-16	17.5	13.8	3.71	15.8	16.6	-0.79
Lavoy Allen	37	36	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.10	-8	-2	-6	15.4	15.7	-0.32	15.6	16.6	-0.99
Elton Brand	54	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.15	-7	-3	-4	15.6	15.6	0.04	16.6	15.8	0.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 94, GSW 82	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.34,0.23,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0	94.0%
NOP 100, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.04,0	93.9%
CLE 103, BOS 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.27,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.02,0	93.7%