NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	6.3 [546]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +21.2%
Boston Celtics	95		Comeback	1.4 [801]		LVP	Isaiah Thomas (BOS): -11.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.07	0.13	-0.01	26	54%	0.28	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.01
J.R. Smith	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.06	-0.02	12	62%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.14	0.11	0.07	0.04	16	64%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Tristan Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04
Iman Shumpert	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	11	46%	0.00	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Timofey Mozgov	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	4	56%	0.01	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	6	94%	0.24	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	6	71%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	15	59%	0.14	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gigi Datome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	9	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	18	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	9	25%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.0	2.8	35.5	17.3	24.5	3.6	34.0	147.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +51.1%

BOS -12.6%

CLE +6.2%

CLE +6.1%

BOS -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	BOS	NBA	CLE	BOS	NBA
this game	15.7	13.8	15.1	103.0	100.0	104.2
season	15.9	14.3		108.7	103.1
opponent	15.4	14.9		103.3	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.7	12.8	18.1	20.9	15.7
BOS	14.5	12.9	13.8	14.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	57	53	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.28	13	-5	18	16.5	14.6	1.86	14.3	13.2	1.14
Iman Shumpert	44	42	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.13	14	-6	20	14.7	16.4	-1.72	14.0	13.6	0.36
J.R. Smith	81	75	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-4	16	15.7	15.7	0.01	13.6	14.6	-1.08
Kevin Love	79	74	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.10	10	-2	12	15.6	16.0	-0.39	13.7	14.2	-0.56
LeBron James	86	82	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.25	2	6	-4	16.3	11.9	4.37	13.6	15.0	-1.39
Kyrie Irving	82	77	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.22	-3	11	-14	15.8	15.0	0.84	14.2	12.2	1.95
Matthew Dellavedova	19	20	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.11	0	8	-8	17.2	15.3	1.88	14.5	13.6	0.89
James Jones	10	11	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.02	1	7	-6	9.6	16.4	-6.77	12.3	14.0	-1.73
Timofey Mozgov	42	41	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.05	-9	17	-26	15.0	16.2	-1.23	13.3	14.1	-0.81

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-8	8	12.2	13.9	-1.69	9.1	16.3	-7.14
Gigi Datome	19	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-5	2	14.6	13.6	1.04	15.9	15.6	0.32
Jared Sullinger	29	33	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-3	-2	14.5	13.5	1.03	16.5	15.3	1.28
Marcus Smart	33	35	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.08	-8	0	-8	15.8	12.7	3.09	15.1	16.0	-0.84
Brandon Bass	40	44	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	0.14	-12	4	-16	14.9	13.0	1.86	16.8	14.8	1.93
Avery Bradley	65	68	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-8	8	13.1	15.2	-2.09	16.5	14.1	2.39
Evan Turner	66	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-8	8	13.5	14.5	-0.98	16.2	14.5	1.70
Tyler Zeller	58	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-9	10	13.7	13.9	-0.24	16.2	15.0	1.21
Jae Crowder	61	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.22	-2	-6	4	13.5	14.4	-0.91	15.0	16.9	-1.92
Jonas Jerebko	54	54	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.34	2	-10	12	13.1	14.7	-1.64	15.2	16.2	-1.02
Isaiah Thomas	42	46	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.07	-13	5	-18	13.6	13.9	-0.32	14.5	16.7	-2.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.27,0.37,0.46,0.45,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 100, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.22,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.02,0,0	93.7%
IND 90, TOR 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.36,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.35,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.11,0.02,0.02,0	93.7%
SEA 102, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.48,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.35,0.21,0.21,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.28,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0	93.7%