NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	87		Excitement	6.3 [447]		MVP	Derrick Favors (UTA): +7.5%
Utah Jazz	96		Comeback	1.7 [574]		LVP	Devin Harris (UTA): -14.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.04	-0.01	6	42%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	-0.03	0.03	14	58%	0.07	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.03
Pau Gasol	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.01	20	51%	0.06	3	-0.09	7	86%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Andrew Goudelock	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	0.05	-0.06	0.06	16	59%	0.02	4	-0.10	12	92%	0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	0.01	6	17%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.05	0.00	9	67%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	3	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Josh Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	8	52%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	9	35%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	0.00	0.06	4	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.02	17	49%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	12	62%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	9	56%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	10	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	6	7%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.4	27.3	15.8	27.5	2.4	31.2	131.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +44.4%

LAL -13.9%

UTA +5.9%

UTA +11.1%

UTA +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	16.8	16.5	15.6	101.2	110.3	102.8
season	16.2	15.8		103.8	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.1		104.7	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.4	17.1	16.5	17.4	16.8
UTA	14.9	16.4	16.3	18.6	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Metta World Peace	40	39	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.01	-1	-8	7	16.7	16.9	-0.17	16.9	16.2	0.71
Troy Murphy	31	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.04	0	-9	9	17.6	16.3	1.30	15.4	17.1	-1.75
Andrew Goudelock	36	35	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-11	13	17.0	16.7	0.32	14.5	17.8	-3.25
Jason Kapono	25	24	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-11	13	16.8	16.8	0.04	19.4	15.4	4.05
Josh McRoberts	10	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.04	-1	-8	7	16.3	16.9	-0.58	13.9	16.8	-2.89
Darius Morris	4	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	-7	5	15.0	16.9	-1.90	12.0	16.8	-4.76
Kobe Bryant	67	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-3	-3	16.6	17.4	-0.78	16.5	16.6	-0.09
Pau Gasol	65	66	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.12	-10	1	-11	16.6	17.3	-0.69	16.7	16.0	0.70
Matt Barnes	36	38	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.12	-11	2	-13	17.4	16.4	1.04	14.4	18.1	-3.66
Derek Fisher	50	52	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.13	-11	2	-13	16.7	17.0	-0.32	17.8	14.5	3.25
Andrew Bynum	66	67	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	-2	-5	16.7	17.3	-0.63	17.4	13.3	4.13

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Earl Watson	49	47	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.21	10	-1	11	16.1	17.0	-0.92	17.0	16.6	0.36
CJ Miles	34	34	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	1	7	17.6	15.8	1.81	16.9	16.8	0.11
Derrick Favors	42	42	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.14	9	0	9	14.7	18.1	-3.37	17.4	16.2	1.15
Enes Kanter	33	33	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	3	3	14.3	17.8	-3.56	16.7	16.9	-0.14
Josh Howard	42	42	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	3	3	15.5	17.4	-1.90	16.8	16.8	-0.01
Raja Bell	40	39	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	6	-3	17.5	15.6	1.88	17.0	16.7	0.34
Al Jefferson	54	53	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	6	-3	17.8	14.3	3.56	16.9	16.7	0.14
Paul Millsap	45	44	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.09	0	9	-9	18.1	14.7	3.37	16.2	17.4	-1.15
Gordon Hayward	58	57	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	8	-7	15.8	17.8	-1.91	16.6	17.1	-0.49
Devin Harris	38	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	10	-11	17.0	16.1	0.92	16.6	17.0	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.95,0.9,0.95,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 80, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.56,0.55,0.45,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.9,0.95,0.96,0.97,1,1,1,1	93.9%
SAS 89, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.45,0.44,0.41,0.56,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.57,0.67,0.85,0.82,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1	93.8%
MIN 99, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.6%