NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	99		Excitement	6.6 [539]		MVP	Devin Booker (PHX): +21.5%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	1.8 [259]		LVP	Josh Jackson (PHX): -21.3%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.01	0.02	16	76%	0.21	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Dario Saric	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	0.01	0.05	12	60%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	15	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Okogie	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.06	-0.07	0.06	26	48%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Jeff Teague	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	9	43%	-0.02	3	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	10%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	8	22%	-0.12	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.16	0.05	0.00	16	74%	0.27	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.03
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.13	0.05	0.03	11	67%	0.16	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	69%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.03	0.02	19	52%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	6	75%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.02	12	46%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jawun Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	8	25%	-0.05	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.17	-0.04	-0.00	10	25%	-0.08	4	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.2	2.3	26.4	15.3	24.5	2.4	31.4	132.6
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +48.2%

PHX +7.7%

PHX +10.7%

MIN -15.7%

MIN -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	PHX	NBA	MIN	PHX	NBA
this game	14.1	14.6	14.3	100.0	104.9	109.3
season	14.4	14.4		110.2	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.0		114.0	111.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.1	14.8	13.7	15.0	14.1
PHX	13.1	14.0	14.5	17.0	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	10	9	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-5	2	14.1	14.1	0.02	13.9	14.6	-0.75
Gorgui Dieng	21	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.02	-1	-7	6	13.7	14.2	-0.47	13.7	14.8	-1.13
Dario Saric	71	75	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-10	12	13.5	15.4	-1.88	14.6	14.4	0.22
Tyus Jones	35	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.10	-2	-6	4	14.5	13.9	0.63	14.6	14.5	0.12
Andrew Wiggins	68	71	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	-5	2	13.8	14.6	-0.82	14.3	15.2	-0.94
Jeff Teague	64	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	13.9	14.5	-0.63	14.5	14.6	-0.12
Anthony Tolliver	28	27	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	2	-12	15.4	13.5	1.88	14.4	14.6	-0.22
Robert Covington	52	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	0	-8	14.3	13.8	0.48	14.9	14.2	0.66
Derrick Rose	68	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.33	-2	-6	4	14.2	13.9	0.26	14.7	14.3	0.44
Karl-Anthony Towns	78	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-1	-6	14.2	13.7	0.47	14.8	13.7	1.13

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. Warren	70	66	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.25	8	0	8	14.6	14.5	0.15	14.0	14.3	-0.38
Jamal Crawford	52	51	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	4	0	15.3	13.8	1.55	14.4	13.7	0.68
Deandre Ayton	53	50	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.14	8	0	8	15.3	13.8	1.45	14.6	13.6	1.05
Josh Jackson	48	49	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	-3	14	14.1	14.9	-0.80	13.9	14.3	-0.44
Mikal Bridges	85	82	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	9	-10	14.7	13.8	0.96	14.3	12.9	1.38
Devin Booker	75	74	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	6	-4	14.4	15.0	-0.54	13.7	15.1	-1.34
Jawun Evans	30	29	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.22	-1	9	-10	15.6	14.2	1.41	14.1	14.1	0.08
De'Anthony Melton	48	45	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.08	9	-1	10	13.4	15.6	-2.18	14.2	14.0	0.26
Richaun Holmes	49	49	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	8	-8	13.8	15.3	-1.45	13.6	14.6	-1.05

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.82,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.87,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 87, UTA 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.81,0.96,0.99,0.95,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	93.6%
LAC 85, ORL 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.68,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.81,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.5%
PHI 85, NOH 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.33,0.42,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%