NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	96		Excitement	3.9 [814]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +22.5%
San Antonio Spurs	107		Comeback	1.6 [616]		LVP	Tim Duncan (SAS): -7.4%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.01	10	63%	0.11	1	-0.01	10	90%	0.01
Daequan Cook	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lazar Hayward	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	19	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	9	40%	-0.00	1	-0.00	7	29%	-0.08
Nazr Mohammed	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.04	16	55%	0.03	3	-0.06	1	100%	-0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.09	7	71%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.20	0.04	0.01	29	60%	0.23	0	0.00	12	83%	-0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.02	-0.00	7	94%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	5	90%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.08	8	19%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	5	36%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	16	37%	-0.06	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.3	31.9	16.0	28.2	1.7	32.2	137.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +23.7%

SAS +9.8%

SAS +6.0%

SAS +7.8%

SAS +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	SAS	NBA	OKC	SAS	NBA
this game	13.0	17.2	15.6	100.0	112.6	102.8
season	14.7	15.3		107.9	109.1
opponent	15.2	15.8		101.5	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.4	13.2	13.7	10.6	13.0
SAS	16.9	16.3	14.6	21.1	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	34	33	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.40	15	-26	41	11.8	13.7	-1.85	19.1	16.1	3.01
Lazar Hayward	13	15	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.32	11	-22	33	11.7	13.2	-1.54	22.9	16.1	6.78
Royal Ivey	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-17	23	10.0	13.2	-3.15	24.6	16.7	7.86
Cole Aldrich	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-17	23	10.0	13.2	-3.15	24.6	16.7	7.86
Nazr Mohammed	20	19	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-7	3	14.3	12.7	1.68	16.9	17.2	-0.33
Nick Collison	38	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.16	2	-13	15	12.7	13.2	-0.56	17.7	16.8	0.92
Daequan Cook	72	70	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.19	-2	-9	7	12.7	14.0	-1.31	17.8	15.4	2.33
James Harden	61	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-5	-1	12.4	14.1	-1.77	17.1	17.3	-0.25
Kendrick Perkins	42	43	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	2	-15	14.4	12.0	2.38	16.0	18.1	-2.07
Serge Ibaka	57	55	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.23	-22	11	-33	13.4	12.5	0.86	15.8	19.0	-3.22
Kevin Durant	73	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.12	-22	11	-33	13.2	12.4	0.83	15.9	20.8	-4.89
Russell Westbrook	62	62	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.22	-26	15	-41	13.7	11.8	1.85	16.1	19.1	-3.01

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	78	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.06	20	-9	29	16.9	18.4	-1.46	13.4	11.4	1.96
Tim Duncan	58	59	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.20	24	-13	37	16.4	18.4	-2.00	13.6	12.1	1.44
Kawhi Leonard	61	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-4	19	16.6	18.1	-1.49	13.6	12.0	1.60
Richard Jefferson	66	68	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.03	15	-4	19	17.3	16.8	0.57	13.3	12.4	0.84
DeJuan Blair	43	43	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	0	11	16.6	17.7	-1.10	14.3	12.0	2.36
Danny Green	52	52	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.24	-3	14	-17	17.0	17.3	-0.26	12.3	13.9	-1.64
Matt Bonner	38	38	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	8	-5	16.3	17.7	-1.45	13.0	13.0	-0.03
James Anderson	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	25.0	16.9	8.10	11.0	13.1	-2.06
Cory Joseph	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	25.0	16.9	8.10	11.0	13.1	-2.06
Tiago Splitter	34	35	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.26	-9	20	-29	17.8	16.8	0.99	12.2	13.5	-1.29
Gary Neal	39	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.36	-13	24	-37	19.3	15.7	3.60	10.7	14.6	-3.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.8,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.93,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 100, GSW 116	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
NJN 70, MIA 75	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	96.0%
NJN 81, MIL 115	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.46,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.8,0.79,0.72,0.8,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%