NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	3.7 [855]		MVP	Nikola Vucevic (PHI): +9.2%
Atlanta Hawks	87		Comeback	1.5 [385]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -16.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	10	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	12	52%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Evan Turner	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	7	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	11	64%	0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	15	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	9	35%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	-0.00	-0.05	15	26%	-0.07	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	11	61%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.00	0.04	12	66%	0.07	3	-0.06	8	87%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	44%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	100%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.03	16	47%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.02	-0.00	11	30%	-0.10	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	1.6	27.3	15.8	26.4	2.5	29.6	127.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +40.8%

PHI +0.7%

ATL -6.9%

PHI +15.2%

PHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ATL	NBA	PHI	ATL	NBA
this game	17.1	15.3	15.6	111.4	96.7	102.8
season	15.6	15.7		101.0	102.5
opponent	15.9	16.1		99.5	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.7	13.9	17.7	21.6	17.1
ATL	16.3	16.1	14.4	14.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Louis Williams	51	54	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	-2	15	16.6	17.6	-1.02	14.8	16.1	-1.31
Evan Turner	43	45	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.08	11	0	11	15.9	18.2	-2.29	15.1	15.5	-0.38
Spencer Hawes	55	58	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.15	6	5	1	17.9	15.6	2.27	16.1	14.0	2.10
Andre Iguodala	68	69	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.04	9	2	7	16.8	17.9	-1.09	14.8	16.9	-2.06
Thaddeus Young	59	58	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	7	-3	17.3	16.6	0.65	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Jodie Meeks	50	50	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.11	5	6	-1	17.0	17.1	-0.13	16.0	14.5	1.44
Lavoy Allen	22	23	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.02	7	4	3	15.9	17.5	-1.59	16.1	15.1	1.03
Nikola Vucevic	40	40	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	8	-5	16.2	17.7	-1.53	14.3	16.1	-1.80
Jrue Holiday	52	53	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.19	-3	14	-17	18.8	14.5	4.33	15.8	14.6	1.14

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	36	34	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.17	5	-16	21	14.6	15.8	-1.23	18.4	16.2	2.11
Vladimir Radmanovic	32	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.23	5	-16	21	15.3	15.3	-0.02	19.4	15.8	3.60
Ivan Johnson	46	46	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-14	17	14.8	15.9	-1.06	17.5	16.6	0.93
Tracy McGrady	32	29	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-8	5	15.1	15.4	-0.35	17.7	16.7	1.00
Willie Green	11	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-4	-3	18.9	14.8	4.09	17.4	17.0	0.35
Marvin Williams	40	39	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	2	-15	15.8	14.9	0.90	14.7	19.0	-4.29
Zaza Pachulia	44	42	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	3	-17	15.9	14.8	1.06	16.6	17.5	-0.93
Joe Johnson	71	71	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	0	-11	15.0	16.4	-1.33	16.4	20.0	-3.65
Jeff Teague	70	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	-5	-1	15.3	15.3	0.03	17.5	15.3	2.22
Josh Smith	68	68	-0.45	-0.06	-0.39	-0.03	-14	3	-17	15.2	15.6	-0.36	16.6	18.5	-1.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 112, LAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
SAC 116, MIL 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
UTA 112, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%