NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	107		Excitement	2.3 [1029]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (LAC): +8.0%
Washington Wizards	81		Comeback	1.0 [989]		LVP	Chris Paul (LAC): -7.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.02	5	120%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	0.00	0.05	11	82%	0.06	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.02	0.04	9	85%	0.06	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Randy Foye	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.06	6	57%	0.04	3	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	15	57%	0.03	4	-0.02	7	14%	-0.06
Reggie Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	5	20%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Leslie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.00	0.06	3	86%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Trey Thompkins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	13	50%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Chris Paul	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	0.00	-0.06	8	11%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jan Vesely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	5	33%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamady Ndiaye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	12	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	8	58%	0.01	2	-0.02	8	75%	0.01
Chris Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	0.00	0.09	4	90%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	5	40%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	16	39%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	8	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Rashard Lewis	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	5	20%	-0.05	3	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	29.4	17.7	27.3	2.5	28.5	133.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +37.7%

WAS -3.2%

LAC +14.0%

LAC +1.7%

WAS -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	15.3	16.2	15.6	116.3	89.0	102.8
season	16.2	15.0		106.0	99.5
opponent	15.7	15.7		104.6	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.5	15.9	13.3	16.7	15.3
WAS	15.1	16.1	17.4	16.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	61	61	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.54	34	-8	42	14.3	17.3	-3.01	16.4	15.7	0.68
DeAndre Jordan	63	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.38	27	-1	28	15.3	15.3	0.02	16.3	15.9	0.33
Chris Paul	53	54	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.49	28	-2	30	14.8	16.1	-1.30	16.2	16.1	0.12
Chauncey Billups	35	35	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.38	23	3	20	15.1	15.4	-0.30	15.5	16.6	-1.04
Caron Butler	50	50	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.27	19	7	12	15.7	14.9	0.78	15.7	16.7	-0.92
Ryan Gomes	40	39	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	24	-22	15.5	15.2	0.40	16.4	16.0	0.36
Mo Williams	45	45	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.06	9	17	-8	15.7	15.0	0.67	17.2	15.2	1.98
Randy Foye	41	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	23	-20	15.4	15.3	0.12	16.4	16.0	0.45
Reggie Evans	26	25	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.01	5	21	-16	16.9	14.7	2.17	16.4	16.1	0.28
Trey Thompkins	22	22	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	34	-42	16.7	14.9	1.78	16.0	16.2	-0.14
Brian Cook	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	32	-38	14.6	15.4	-0.85	14.1	16.4	-2.35
Travis Leslie	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.18	-6	32	-38	14.6	15.4	-0.85	14.1	16.4	-2.35

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	11	12	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-32	38	14.1	16.4	-2.35	14.6	15.4	-0.85
Hamady Ndiaye	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-30	34	15.7	16.2	-0.50	8.0	15.6	-7.57
Trevor Booker	48	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.12	-6	-20	14	16.4	15.9	0.51	16.6	13.9	2.76
Jordan Crawford	38	38	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.08	-9	-17	8	17.4	15.2	2.18	15.1	15.5	-0.47
Chris Singleton	39	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.16	-2	-24	22	16.4	16.0	0.36	15.5	15.2	0.40
Kevin Seraphin	48	46	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.10	-11	-15	4	16.3	16.0	0.38	15.8	14.9	0.87
John Wall	56	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.17	-14	-12	-2	15.4	17.3	-1.93	16.2	13.9	2.27
Shelvin Mack	35	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.10	-12	-14	2	17.3	15.4	1.93	13.9	16.2	-2.27
JaVale McGee	40	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.28	-19	-7	-12	16.0	16.3	-0.32	15.4	15.3	0.09
Nick Young	54	55	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	0.44	-26	0	-26	16.1	16.3	-0.24	15.1	15.6	-0.49
Jan Vesely	40	41	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	-11	-4	15.6	16.5	-0.90	14.0	16.4	-2.35
Rashard Lewis	43	42	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.39	-26	0	-26	15.7	16.6	-0.86	15.6	15.1	0.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 85, CHI 67	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.5%
SAS 121, BOS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
PHI 97, SAS 78	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%