inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Indiana Pacers 106 Excitement4.6 [713] MVPGeorge Hill (IND): +12.1%
Orlando Magic 85 Comeback1.5 [405] LVPHedo Turkoglu (ORL): -12.8%


Indiana Pacers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
George Hill0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.13-0.000.01976%0.1200.00367%-0.01
Tyler Hansbrough0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.04-0.02654%0.081-0.011100%0.01
Danny Granger0.070,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.090.020.032057%0.091-0.02250%-0.01
Dahntay Jones0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04-0.010.00-0.05362%0.052-0.012100%0.01
Paul George0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.01560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Lou Amundson0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.01-0.00-0.024100%0.094-0.0800%0.00
A.J. Price0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Ayres0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.02367%0.0000.0000%0.00
David West-0.000,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.02-0.001844%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Lance Stephenson-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Darren Collison-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.010.001050%0.034-0.10250%-0.01
Roy Hibbert-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.02-0.010.05841%-0.061-0.031100%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.00-0.041359%0.095-0.071527%-0.13
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.01756%0.0300.002100%0.01
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.04-0.02861%0.041-0.022100%0.01
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.01-0.011070%0.104-0.0900%0.00
Von Wafer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02167%0.0000.00450%0.00
Earl Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.050.00-0.0330%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Quentin Richardson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Larry Hughes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00125%-0.022-0.04250%-0.02
Jason Richardson0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.020.041154%0.013-0.08250%-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.08-0.030.02839%-0.063-0.07250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.71.430.516.427.71.831.8134.3
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
IND +19.0%
IND +8.0%
IND +12.1%
IND +9.2%
IND +1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsINDORLNBAINDORLNBA
this game16.515.015.6117.891.4102.8
season15.716.2104.2102.8
opponent15.815.6103.0101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
IND13.816.317.419.716.5
ORL12.414.416.917.215.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyler Hansbrough39390.53-0.030.570.041741316.516.5-0.0415.514.60.98
Danny Granger69710.350.150.20-0.121651116.217.5-1.2315.014.90.14
George Hill45460.290.210.08-0.181651116.616.50.0415.914.11.83
Darren Collison65660.270.230.05-0.08129316.716.10.6315.014.90.11
Lou Amundson32330.260.240.020.08615-914.717.6-2.8614.615.1-0.51
Paul George41420.230.27-0.050.14318-1516.116.9-0.7614.215.6-1.42
David West60620.230.27-0.05-0.04912-318.013.64.4515.414.11.35
Dahntay Jones26280.210.29-0.09-0.06912-318.315.82.5515.514.70.81
Lance Stephenson18190.150.35-0.19-0.05714-714.817.0-2.1913.915.2-1.35
A.J. Price670.000.50-0.500.00021-2118.016.41.5713.615.1-1.51
Jeff Ayres670.000.50-0.500.00021-2118.016.41.5713.615.1-1.51
Roy Hibbert4345-0.020.52-0.53-0.311011-115.717.3-1.6914.315.6-1.27

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Von Wafer760.00-0.500.500.000-212113.615.1-1.5118.016.41.57
Earl Clark98-0.00-0.500.500.15-5-161115.314.90.4017.616.41.20
Jason Richardson5554-0.11-0.390.29-0.05-2-191714.515.6-1.0315.817.7-1.94
Ryan Anderson5554-0.12-0.380.270.00-4-171314.715.4-0.7716.316.9-0.69
Chris Duhon6865-0.20-0.300.110.01-7-14714.815.5-0.7015.519.2-3.64
Hedo Turkoglu6764-0.24-0.260.030.09-11-10-114.516.1-1.5415.718.7-2.98
Larry Hughes2928-0.28-0.22-0.050.02-10-11114.715.1-0.4018.715.53.17
Quentin Richardson1617-0.28-0.22-0.060.10-13-8-516.414.71.7818.616.12.53
Dwight Howard7674-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.02-13-8-514.815.8-1.0516.715.61.18
JJ Redick3736-0.41-0.09-0.310.18-20-1-1916.613.92.6618.115.52.68
Glen Davis4644-0.49-0.01-0.470.10-20-1-1915.614.41.2316.316.7-0.42


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.59,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.43,0.39,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.14,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 103, DEN 900.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.25,0.29,0.22,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.3%
OKC 100, MIA 870.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.34,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,094.6%
NOH 95, LAC 810.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.45,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.3%