NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	122		Excitement	2.3 [1025]		MVP	Danilo Gallinari (DEN): +13.8%
Sacramento Kings	93		Comeback	1.2 [855]		LVP	John Salmons (SAC): -5.7%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.00	0.02	12	77%	0.14	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Ty Lawson	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	5	92%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Harrington	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.03	0.01	-0.07	12	40%	0.05	1	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Nene	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.07	9	73%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	0.00	0.08	4	100%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	45%	0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.00	0.09	9	79%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Julyan Stone	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	6	50%	-0.01	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	56%	-0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	19	37%	-0.00	2	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.10	-0.00	0.05	13	68%	0.05	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	0	100%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Honeycutt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	-0.01	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.00	0.09	10	73%	-0.02	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.11	0.02	-0.06	13	40%	0.03	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	16	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	2	50%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.6	31.2	15.7	23.6	1.6	28.8	127.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +21.2%

DEN +9.6%

DEN +6.8%

DEN +10.8%

DEN +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	SAC	NBA	DEN	SAC	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.6	129.8	97.9	102.8
season	14.5	14.9		107.5	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.8		107.9	104.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	12.8	14.5	16.4	17.7	15.3
SAC	14.9	16.1	15.7	14.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nene	49	49	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.35	30	-1	31	14.7	15.9	-1.24	16.8	13.5	3.36
Danilo Gallinari	67	67	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.39	30	-1	31	15.7	14.1	1.62	15.3	15.0	0.25
Andre Miller	63	64	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.34	27	2	25	14.8	16.3	-1.48	15.7	14.1	1.61
Al Harrington	45	47	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.17	16	13	3	16.0	14.6	1.32	14.8	15.6	-0.80
Corey Brewer	59	60	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.18	16	13	3	16.3	13.5	2.84	15.6	14.5	1.19
Kosta Koufos	46	45	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.18	12	17	-5	14.7	15.8	-1.12	16.3	14.2	2.05
Ty Lawson	32	33	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.05	7	22	-15	12.6	16.7	-4.10	15.3	15.2	0.14
Julyan Stone	40	40	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.14	9	20	-11	16.1	14.7	1.41	13.9	16.1	-2.22
Kenneth Faried	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.05	-1	30	-31	14.7	15.5	-0.75	13.3	15.9	-2.57
Jordan Hamilton	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	32	-35	13.7	15.5	-1.74	13.0	15.5	-2.50
Chris Andersen	34	35	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.08	2	27	-25	16.6	14.5	2.12	13.6	16.1	-2.50

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donte Greene	28	27	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.19	8	-37	45	11.0	17.0	-5.92	17.6	14.3	3.21
Tyler Honeycutt	9	9	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-35	41	11.9	15.6	-3.67	14.2	15.4	-1.15
Francisco Garcia	24	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-27	25	16.0	14.9	1.06	16.5	14.9	1.60
JJ Hickson	32	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.15	-11	-18	7	15.6	15.0	0.58	15.3	15.2	0.08
Jason Thompson	60	60	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.24	-16	-13	-3	14.1	17.0	-2.88	15.3	15.3	0.00
Travis Outlaw	7	7	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	-20	11	19.9	14.8	5.02	14.0	15.4	-1.37
Jimmer Fredette	75	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.24	-20	-9	-11	14.4	18.1	-3.72	15.1	15.9	-0.87
Isaiah Thomas	57	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.14	-17	-12	-5	15.0	15.5	-0.48	16.1	14.1	2.00
John Salmons	46	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.40	-26	-3	-23	17.3	13.2	4.06	14.2	16.3	-2.05
Tyreke Evans	75	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.37	-26	-3	-23	15.2	15.1	0.14	15.2	15.4	-0.13
DeMarcus Cousins	62	63	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.53	-32	3	-35	17.1	11.6	5.48	14.4	17.0	-2.64

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 107, MEM 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.37,0.31,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.23,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
SAS 101, GSW 72	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.34,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
MIA 103, HOU 85	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%