NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	80		Excitement	4.9 [680]		MVP	Rodney Stuckey (DET): +10.9%
Houston Rockets	97		Comeback	1.2 [920]		LVP	Greg Monroe (DET): -16.4%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	11	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Vernon Macklin	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	15	55%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	-0.04	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	22	45%	0.06	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.03	8	35%	-0.03	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Brandon Knight	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	-0.00	16	47%	-0.04	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.15	-0.03	-0.02	9	22%	-0.07	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	-0.00	7	75%	0.10	1	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.04	0.00	4	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	9	61%	0.06	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	12	58%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	11	59%	0.10	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.04	7	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	12	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	6	58%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	47%	0.01	5	-0.12	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.7	1.0	26.0	15.4	26.3	0.2	31.4	121.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +24.8%

HOU +3.7%

HOU +19.3%

HOU +1.6%

HOU +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	HOU	NBA	DET	HOU	NBA
this game	17.5	14.9	15.6	90.9	107.8	102.8
season	16.3	15.4		99.5	103.5
opponent	15.5	15.4		103.2	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	19.5	16.6	17.8	16.0	17.5
HOU	12.7	16.1	15.0	16.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vernon Macklin	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	10.0	17.7	-7.73	10.7	15.1	-4.37
Jason Maxiell	19	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-17	17	15.2	18.1	-2.94	15.6	14.7	0.87
Damien Wilkins	22	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-18	19	16.3	17.9	-1.59	15.3	14.8	0.51
Rodney Stuckey	38	41	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.16	3	-20	23	16.1	18.5	-2.44	14.7	15.1	-0.44
Jonas Jerebko	55	57	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.06	-3	-14	11	15.6	20.5	-4.88	15.1	14.6	0.50
Brandon Knight	66	66	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	-4	-9	17.6	17.0	0.68	14.8	15.2	-0.45
Ben Wallace	33	32	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.09	-16	-1	-15	20.5	15.6	4.88	14.8	15.0	-0.22
Tayshaun Prince	66	67	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	0.05	-18	1	-19	17.9	16.3	1.59	14.8	15.3	-0.51
Greg Monroe	66	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.02	-17	0	-17	18.5	14.5	4.02	15.0	14.8	0.18
Ben Gordon	72	74	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	0.10	-22	5	-27	18.0	14.9	3.17	15.1	14.2	0.89

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Samuel Dalembert	59	58	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.09	23	-6	29	15.5	13.8	1.70	19.6	13.4	6.12
Chandler Parsons	59	56	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.04	14	3	11	14.5	15.8	-1.35	17.5	17.4	0.04
Kyle Lowry	55	54	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.06	11	6	5	14.5	15.6	-1.06	18.2	16.3	1.91
Luis Scola	49	48	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	4	9	15.5	14.3	1.20	18.6	16.0	2.60
Kevin Martin	51	52	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.11	15	2	13	14.7	15.2	-0.50	19.1	15.1	3.99
Courtney Lee	30	28	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	15	-13	15.3	14.7	0.52	16.2	18.1	-1.89
Patrick Patterson	49	47	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	14	-11	14.7	15.2	-0.50	15.3	19.9	-4.56
Goran Dragic	35	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	11	-5	15.6	14.5	1.06	16.3	18.2	-1.91
Chase Budinger	40	40	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	14	-11	15.6	14.4	1.26	16.2	18.5	-2.28
Jeff Adrien	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	17	-17	13.7	15.0	-1.35	10.0	18.0	-8.01
Jordan Hill	17	17	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.06	-5	22	-27	12.4	15.5	-3.10	15.5	17.9	-2.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.66,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.58,0.73,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.88,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 101, UTA 115	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.81,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1	95.2%
UTA 85, GSW 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.92,0.89,0.79,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.0%
UTA 83, NOK 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.6,0.64,0.58,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.94,0.9,0.95,0.99,1,1	94.9%