NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	95		Excitement	5.6 [547]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +15.4%
New Orleans Hornets	85		Comeback	2.2 [684]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (NOH): -13.1%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.15	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.01	0.00	17	72%	0.26	3	-0.10	6	67%	-0.01
James Harden	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.03	0.08	-0.02	10	52%	0.15	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.03
Reggie Jackson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.00	3	86%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	67%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	20	48%	0.02	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gustavo Ayon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	10	42%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	16	50%	0.07	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.02	0.03	13	57%	0.07	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Greivis Vasquez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Emeka Okafor	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	0.01	7	71%	0.05	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Carldell Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	11	36%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	27.6	15.0	28.4	2.5	27.6	129.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +38.2%

OKC +3.9%

NOH -6.0%

OKC +14.4%

NOH -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NOH	NBA	OKC	NOH	NBA
this game	16.0	16.9	15.6	108.0	97.7	102.8
season	14.7	16.3		107.9	99.2
opponent	15.7	15.8		103.4	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.5	15.5	13.5	19.2	16.0
NOH	17.8	15.8	17.3	16.8	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	53	53	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	-1	12	17.6	13.7	3.90	16.5	17.5	-1.06
Russell Westbrook	63	63	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	3	4	15.7	16.9	-1.18	16.9	16.9	0.01
Daequan Cook	29	27	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.19	5	5	0	17.3	15.4	1.85	17.4	16.6	0.76
Kendrick Perkins	49	49	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.21	3	7	-4	15.7	16.5	-0.86	16.3	17.6	-1.33
Kevin Durant	69	69	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	5	0	16.1	15.9	0.11	16.7	17.4	-0.71
Thabo Sefolosha	39	39	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.13	3	7	-4	14.8	17.0	-2.13	16.6	17.1	-0.49
Nick Collison	39	38	0.20	0.30	-0.09	-0.00	7	3	4	16.5	15.7	0.86	17.6	16.3	1.33
Nazr Mohammed	25	25	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	5	0	16.9	15.7	1.18	17.2	16.7	0.50
Reggie Jackson	25	24	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.06	3	7	-4	16.9	15.7	1.18	16.9	16.9	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	49	48	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.10	1	9	-8	14.1	18.5	-4.36	17.3	16.4	0.91

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	56	59	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-11	12	17.3	16.2	1.07	15.2	17.7	-2.47
Greivis Vasquez	28	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-5	0	16.4	17.1	-0.73	15.4	16.3	-0.99
DaJuan Summers	36	35	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.07	-7	-3	-4	16.2	17.3	-1.08	15.9	16.1	-0.20
Gustavo Ayon	10	8	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-3	-4	18.4	16.7	1.71	14.9	16.1	-1.28
Al-Farouq Aminu	45	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.22	-1	-9	8	16.6	17.2	-0.64	16.2	15.9	0.34
Marco Belinelli	69	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-9	8	16.9	17.0	-0.14	16.4	14.6	1.72
Carldell Johnson	21	20	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	0	-10	18.5	16.4	2.10	14.5	16.5	-1.99
Carl Landry	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.12	-6	-4	-2	16.8	17.1	-0.27	16.9	13.9	3.05
Jarrett Jack	62	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.24	-6	-4	-2	17.2	16.1	1.07	16.4	15.1	1.28
Emeka Okafor	46	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.23	-8	-2	-6	16.2	17.7	-1.46	16.1	16.0	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.4,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.2,0.24,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.06,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 98, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.19,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
GSW 102, VAN 86	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.24,0.24,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.24,0.3,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.29,0.32,0.21,0.19,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%
IND 105, MIA 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.27,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.02,0,0,0	93.1%