inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 101 Excitement3.6 [873] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +11.5%
New Jersey Nets 90 Comeback1.0 [1012] LVPDeron Williams (NJN): -10.1%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.120,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.120.040.01-0.071770%0.198-0.071283%0.01
Shane Battier0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.00-0.004100%0.081-0.0100%0.00
James Jones0.030,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.050.000.02667%0.0300.0000%0.00
Mario Chalmers0.020,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00470%0.031-0.01250%0.00
Dexter Pittman0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01175%0.0100.00250%0.00
Mickell Gladness0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Norris Cole-0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.080.00-0.081335%-0.002-0.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.021450%0.022-0.034100%0.02
Joel Anthony-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.00150%0.002-0.032100%0.01
Terrel Harris-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03540%0.013-0.0400%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.001150%0.003-0.052100%0.00

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.020.000.01650%0.0100.0000%0.00
MarShon Brooks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.04-0.010.03763%0.042-0.04580%0.01
Dennis Horner00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sundiata Gaines0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.010.000.01450%-0.011-0.014100%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jordan Farmar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.000.04750%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Jordan Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0220%-0.0300.0020%-0.02
Anthony Morrow0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.011055%0.023-0.0500%0.00
Shelden Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00553%0.014-0.06580%0.00
Shawne Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.040.000.01536%-0.031-0.021100%0.00
Kris Humphries0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.002147%0.014-0.071182%0.00
Deron Williams0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.190.00-0.091629%-0.025-0.0820%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.11.826.415.630.72.037.3140.9
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +32.9%
MIA +4.2%
MIA +2.0%
MIA +7.7%
MIA +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANJNNBAMIANJNNBA
this game13.515.315.6102.089.1102.8
season15.516.2105.6101.3
opponent15.215.8107.698.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA12.411.514.315.713.5
NJN14.717.716.212.515.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Udonis Haslem66690.440.060.370.0314-31712.914.8-1.8914.417.2-2.87
LeBron James77800.380.120.250.1774313.314.2-0.9415.315.30.00
Shane Battier55560.330.170.170.011101113.014.1-1.1113.717.3-3.57
Mario Chalmers36370.310.190.12-0.1616-52112.014.4-2.3918.113.74.37
Chris Bosh74740.230.27-0.040.29-213-1514.510.63.9315.814.01.76
Joel Anthony38400.210.29-0.080.0074312.813.9-1.1417.613.83.83
Norris Cole65660.190.31-0.120.36-617-2314.411.82.6413.618.5-4.94
James Jones35360.160.34-0.180.0738-513.813.30.4718.013.84.22
Terrel Harris29280.130.37-0.240.0729-714.513.11.4015.415.30.10
Dexter Pittman17170.120.38-0.260.0047-312.613.7-1.0912.115.9-3.81
Mickell Gladness320.000.50-0.500.03-112-1317.013.43.6110.015.4-5.39

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dennis Horner230.00-0.500.50-0.031-121310.015.4-5.3917.013.43.61
Sundiata Gaines1818-0.03-0.470.44-0.268-192713.415.7-2.2415.413.12.38
Jordan Williams1617-0.04-0.460.41-0.040-111116.415.11.3713.513.5-0.03
Johan Petro88-0.20-0.300.110.16-121-1318.215.03.2213.113.5-0.40
DeShawn Stevenson4946-0.22-0.280.05-0.05-6-5-117.113.63.5614.512.61.88
Shelden Williams6562-0.23-0.270.03-0.15-3-8515.415.10.2313.513.6-0.12
Jordan Farmar4140-0.24-0.260.02-0.15-3-8514.016.2-2.2111.614.8-3.14
MarShon Brooks5352-0.24-0.260.02-0.18-2-9713.617.2-3.6213.813.20.58
Shawne Williams3534-0.27-0.23-0.040.02-10-1-913.116.5-3.3712.414.1-1.69
Anthony Morrow5858-0.31-0.19-0.110.08-132-1516.913.23.7012.814.4-1.57
Kris Humphries8279-0.32-0.18-0.13-0.29-1-10915.414.80.5513.812.41.37
Deron Williams7878-0.40-0.10-0.300.01-143-1715.714.01.6113.912.11.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.18,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 132, DEN 1280.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.16,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
HOU 102, LAC 790.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
BOS 114, VAN 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,095.7%