inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 96 Excitement5.8 [514] MVPRyan Anderson (ORL): +28.3%
Orlando Magic 102 Comeback24.7 [127] LVPLeandro Barbosa (TOR): -12.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani0.160,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.160.080.05-0.022157%0.192-0.037100%0.04
Jose Calderon0.110,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.110.14-0.000.02986%0.131-0.023100%0.02
Jamaal Magloire0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.013100%0.0800.001100%0.00
Rasual Butler0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.02-0.00243%0.0400.003100%0.02
Solomon Alabi0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Forbes0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Ed Davis-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.03-0.00-0.02425%-0.0000.0000%0.00
James Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0110%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Amir Johnson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.070.00567%0.021-0.062100%0.01
DeMar DeRozan-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.050.01-0.030.031252%0.022-0.07989%0.02
Anthony Carter-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.01-0.050.00540%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Leandro Barbosa-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.06-0.02845%0.024-0.15475%-0.03

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.280.280.190.09-0.011673%0.2800.001100%0.00
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.240.240.180.090.031078%0.2400.00786%0.01
Dwight Howard0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.010.100.001161%0.194-0.08956%-0.03
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.050.021452%0.123-0.111100%0.00
Earl Clark00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01764%0.052-0.0600%0.00
Glen Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00650%0.012-0.04250%-0.01
Chris Duhon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.000.00333%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jason Richardson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.00825%-0.0600.00450%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.032.015.530.72.035.3143.9
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +65.1%
TOR -24.9%
ORL +6.9%
ORL +3.1%
TOR -0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORORLNBATORORLNBA
this game17.316.015.6112.9115.9102.8
season16.516.298.9102.8
opponent15.815.2103.0102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.317.517.918.617.3
ORL15.315.218.115.816.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Rasual Butler35350.46-0.961.42-0.1019-254415.618.5-2.8917.115.41.68
Jamaal Magloire31320.40-0.901.30-0.0716-223817.117.4-0.2215.316.4-1.10
James Johnson22220.20-0.700.910.065-111618.416.91.4715.516.2-0.73
Solomon Alabi010.01-0.510.510.010-660.017.3-17.2714.016.1-2.07
Gary Forbes01-0.01-0.490.48-0.010-660.017.3-17.2710.016.1-6.11
Ed Davis2325-0.03-0.470.430.11-5-1-415.717.8-2.1014.516.7-2.13
Jose Calderon6364-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.444-101417.616.21.4116.714.42.24
Leandro Barbosa4850-0.45-0.05-0.400.05-1711-2818.116.21.8715.416.9-1.54
Andrea Bargnani7272-0.45-0.05-0.41-0.39-2-4217.715.02.6816.713.03.72
Anthony Carter2528-0.690.19-0.89-0.17-1812-3016.817.5-0.6714.216.9-2.69
DeMar DeRozan6265-0.700.20-0.89-0.37-115-1617.017.9-0.8816.415.11.30
Amir Johnson4445-0.910.41-1.32-0.30-2115-3617.517.00.4816.515.60.91

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
JJ Redick63590.97-0.471.430.2026-204615.417.8-2.3918.215.22.99
Ryan Anderson55550.80-0.301.100.3316-102616.215.70.5117.117.7-0.61
Hedo Turkoglu62610.65-0.150.800.418-21016.415.21.1616.918.3-1.48
Jameer Nelson58570.53-0.030.550.4724-216.515.21.2817.317.3-0.02
Dwight Howard79750.51-0.010.530.3751415.917.2-1.3117.316.70.65
Chris Duhon3028-0.030.53-0.55-0.1442215.216.5-1.2817.317.30.02
Earl Clark34-0.160.66-0.820.04-713-2018.716.02.7119.217.22.08
Glen Davis3836-0.160.66-0.82-0.10-28-1016.016.1-0.0817.217.3-0.08
Jason Richardson5250-0.611.11-1.720.04-2228-5016.315.60.7416.718.1-1.39


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.46,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.25,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.34,0.47,0.84,0.86,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 79, CHH 800.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.26,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.19,0.28,0.53,0.72,0.9,0.84,192.1%
DAL 100, CHI 1080.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.49,0.45,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.13,0.17,0.28,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.13,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.31,0.47,0.27,0.45,0.78,0.77,0.99,190.0%
HOU 105, UTA 1090.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.19,0.24,0.18,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.47,0.3,0.31,0.4,0.62,0.78,0.95,0.97,189.9%