NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	78		Excitement	4.4 [734]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (ORL): +8.1%
Orlando Magic	94		Comeback	1.1 [1041]		LVP	Deron Williams (NJN): -18.3%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.03	4	112%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.03	15	53%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Johan Petro	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damion James	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sundiata Gaines	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.02
Anthony Morrow	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.13	-0.01	-0.04	10	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.18	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.20	-0.03	-0.04	12	31%	-0.06	6	-0.12	8	75%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.16	-0.01	0.06	14	65%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	11	62%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	75%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.02	9	59%	0.09	3	-0.04	9	22%	-0.07
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	14	47%	0.06	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.00
Justin Harper	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	14	39%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	8	28%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	2.5	31.6	16.3	25.5	2.5	32.5	139.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +32.1%

NJN -6.7%

ORL +9.5%

ORL +8.9%

ORL +6.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	ORL	NBA	NJN	ORL	NBA
this game	17.2	15.9	15.6	89.7	108.0	102.8
season	16.2	16.2		101.3	102.8
opponent	15.8	15.2		103.0	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	18.6	15.1	17.4	17.6	17.2
ORL	12.7	16.2	19.6	16.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	31	32	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.25	12	-28	40	15.7	17.9	-2.20	15.0	16.5	-1.54
MarShon Brooks	36	37	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.16	8	-24	32	17.1	17.2	-0.08	17.5	14.8	2.78
Shawne Williams	9	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-16	16	19.8	16.9	2.92	18.5	15.6	2.89
Jordan Farmar	13	11	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	-10	4	18.2	17.0	1.26	16.9	15.8	1.11
Sundiata Gaines	45	46	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-14	12	17.2	17.2	-0.01	15.4	16.5	-1.08
Damion James	23	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.05	-5	-11	6	17.0	17.2	-0.16	16.3	15.8	0.48
Johan Petro	19	18	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	-9	2	19.6	16.5	3.16	18.0	15.4	2.59
DeShawn Stevenson	48	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.12	-12	-4	-8	17.0	17.3	-0.27	15.7	16.2	-0.57
Kris Humphries	65	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	-1	-14	17.1	17.3	-0.15	15.7	16.7	-1.06
Anthony Morrow	38	37	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	-4	-8	17.1	17.2	-0.05	15.5	16.3	-0.79
Mehmet Okur	48	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.17	-20	4	-24	16.8	17.6	-0.73	15.7	16.3	-0.66
Deron Williams	60	61	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.12	-21	5	-26	17.0	17.6	-0.57	15.5	16.9	-1.34

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Howard	68	69	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.10	23	-7	30	16.0	15.8	0.13	17.3	16.6	0.76
Chris Duhon	47	47	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.03	20	-4	24	18.3	13.2	5.12	16.9	17.4	-0.49
Hedo Turkoglu	68	67	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	4	8	16.2	14.9	1.27	16.8	18.3	-1.48
Ryan Anderson	60	58	0.28	0.22	0.05	-0.02	10	6	4	16.2	15.4	0.83	17.4	16.6	0.86
JJ Redick	42	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.06	7	9	-2	16.0	15.9	0.16	16.7	17.6	-0.92
Jason Richardson	60	59	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.04	10	6	4	15.3	17.4	-2.12	17.8	15.8	1.98
Glen Davis	43	45	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	15	-14	15.6	16.3	-0.71	16.6	17.8	-1.25
Jameer Nelson	34	34	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	16	-16	12.9	17.9	-5.02	17.5	17.0	0.51
Larry Hughes	10	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	17	-18	17.0	15.8	1.19	17.6	17.1	0.54
Justin Harper	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	18	-20	15.3	16.0	-0.63	17.0	17.2	-0.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 86, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%
POR 90, OKC 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.6%
SAS 84, HOU 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.83,0.74,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.63,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.73,0.83,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%