NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	86		Excitement	3.7 [1030]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (SAC): +7.6%
Sacramento Kings	103		Comeback	1.2 [829]		LVP	Steve Blake (POR): -20.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	14	56%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Raef LaFrentz	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	21	55%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	13	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.04
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.02	0.02	6	71%	0.01	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Roy	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.01	0.05	10	55%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
James Jones	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.04	6	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.02	-0.03	9	10%	-0.14	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.00	11	60%	0.08	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	14	60%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.00	0.05	10	73%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	3	67%	0.04	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	72%	0.06	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	12	53%	0.07	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Mikki Moore	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	8	61%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	568.5	2.4	29.5	15.7	25.2	2.4	-695.3	-51.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +52.0%

SAC +5.4%

POR -8.1%

POR -0.7%

SAC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAC	NBA	POR	SAC	NBA
this game	15.9	14.9	15.4	91.5	110.8	105.7
season	16.7	14.9		105.5	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.4		108.0	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.9	16.0	16.4	12.4	15.9
SAC	13.9	14.6	13.6	17.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Von Wafer	6	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	10.5	16.2	-5.73	17.4	14.8	2.60
Josh McRoberts	6	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-15	13	10.5	16.2	-5.73	17.4	14.8	2.60
Sergio Rodriguez	15	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-8	-1	15.5	15.9	-0.47	16.0	14.8	1.22
Channing Frye	63	62	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	-12	7	16.0	15.5	0.47	14.7	15.4	-0.68
Raef LaFrentz	19	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.21	-14	-3	-11	15.7	15.9	-0.16	16.7	14.6	2.06
Steve Blake	63	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.22	0	-17	17	16.3	14.9	1.43	13.9	17.2	-3.35
Travis Outlaw	56	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	-9	1	15.1	17.1	-2.00	15.8	13.6	2.14
LaMarcus Aldridge	77	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.11	-8	-9	1	15.9	15.8	0.05	15.0	14.7	0.26
James Jones	37	38	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.03	-13	-4	-9	18.0	14.5	3.53	13.8	15.7	-1.98
Jarrett Jack	67	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.09	-9	-8	-1	15.4	17.1	-1.75	15.4	13.7	1.67
Brandon Roy	61	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.06	-15	-2	-13	16.4	14.9	1.51	14.6	15.6	-0.97

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Salmons	75	76	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.15	25	-8	33	15.2	13.9	1.30	16.3	14.1	2.17
Mikki Moore	69	70	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.25	26	-9	35	14.8	15.3	-0.48	17.0	12.6	4.35
Kevin Martin	62	61	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.10	7	10	-3	13.9	17.1	-3.19	16.9	13.9	3.06
Spencer Hawes	75	73	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.10	5	12	-7	14.8	15.5	-0.70	15.7	16.3	-0.61
Beno Udrih	47	46	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.10	5	12	-7	13.3	16.6	-3.35	17.7	14.1	3.63
Shelden Williams	42	45	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.16	3	14	-11	15.4	14.6	0.81	14.4	17.2	-2.89
Francisco Garcia	58	60	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	10	-3	16.1	13.1	3.01	14.3	18.6	-4.23
Quincy Douby	37	39	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	10	-3	16.5	13.9	2.67	13.5	17.5	-3.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.87,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 97, UTA 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.86,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.83,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.8%
CHI 105, HOU 121	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.7,0.82,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.71,0.81,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MEM 76, ATL 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.77,0.87,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%