NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	90		Excitement	5.0 [807]		MVP	Meyers Leonard (POR): +12.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	101		Comeback	1.0 [1187]		LVP	Dion Waiters (OKC): -11.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Meyers Leonard	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	17	69%	0.15	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.02	-0.00	7	61%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Robin Lopez	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.03	9	78%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.01	0.05	13	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	9	45%	0.00	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	8	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Frazier	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	8	19%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	8	25%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Enes Kanter	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	20	64%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.02	10	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.01	0.01	27	58%	0.13	5	-0.09	8	100%	0.02
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	40%	-0.08
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	21	28%	-0.10	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	30.0	14.8	25.0	2.4	31.6	129.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +0.3%

OKC +1.5%

OKC +30.1%

OKC +12.5%

OKC +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	OKC	NBA	POR	OKC	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	15.1	95.7	106.3	104.2
season	15.3	14.5		106.5	105.7
opponent	15.0	15.0		103.5	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.3	13.2	17.2	14.6	15.3
OKC	13.1	16.3	15.5	16.0	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	41	40	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-12	13	14.7	15.7	-1.02	15.7	14.9	0.78
Alonzo Gee	44	45	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-12	13	15.3	15.2	0.03	16.6	14.0	2.62
Joel Freeland	45	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.13	-1	-10	9	14.5	16.0	-1.47	14.7	15.7	-0.95
Allen Crabbe	71	72	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.24	1	-12	13	14.8	16.8	-2.02	15.2	15.4	-0.22
Chris Kaman	31	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-4	-3	15.3	15.2	0.10	14.7	15.5	-0.76
Nicolas Batum	21	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.15	-14	3	-17	15.6	15.2	0.47	13.8	15.7	-1.88
Robin Lopez	50	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	-3	-5	15.8	14.6	1.25	15.5	15.0	0.48
Meyers Leonard	62	63	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-5	-1	15.3	15.2	0.15	15.7	14.4	1.28
Tim Frazier	52	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-3	-5	15.3	15.2	0.16	14.7	16.0	-1.28
Damian Lillard	53	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	3	-17	16.1	14.1	2.01	14.9	15.6	-0.62

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	76	76	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-5	21	15.2	15.2	0.01	15.0	16.5	-1.54
Dion Waiters	78	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	0	11	15.2	15.5	-0.38	15.3	15.2	0.10
Enes Kanter	71	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	-2	15	15.0	15.7	-0.71	15.3	15.2	0.12
Nick Collison	48	46	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.16	5	6	-1	15.2	15.2	0.02	15.2	15.3	-0.16
Anthony Morrow	63	61	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.14	5	6	-1	15.0	15.6	-0.51	14.6	16.5	-1.94
Steven Adams	70	71	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.13	4	7	-3	15.3	14.9	0.46	15.4	14.8	0.57
Andre Roberson	41	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.11	3	8	-5	16.0	14.7	1.28	15.9	14.7	1.22
D.J. Augustin	28	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.15	-2	13	-15	14.9	15.4	-0.52	16.2	14.9	1.36
Kyle Singler	1	1	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	11	-11	19.0	15.2	3.82	7.0	15.3	-8.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.75,0.75,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.89,0.88,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 85, MIA 101	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
OKC 79, LAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.95,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.93,0.98,1,1	94.9%
NJN 78, ORL 94	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.7,0.78,0.84,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.61,0.62,0.67,0.82,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%