NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	5.4 [763]		MVP	John Salmons (MIL): +41.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	108		Comeback	1.0 [1194]		LVP	JJ Hickson (CLE): -9.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alonzo Gee	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.01	0.03	5	117%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Christian Eyenga	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	3	62%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Daniel Gibson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	59%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Ramon Sessions	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	11	60%	0.13	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Luke Harangody	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Semih Erden	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manny Harris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	38%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	17	54%	0.04	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	7	55%	-0.01	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.27	0.14	-0.01	18	84%	0.42	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	69%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	10	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	12	54%	0.06	4	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	30.3	15.8	23.2	2.4	31.8	128.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +39.4%

CLE -12.0%

MIL +3.8%

MIL +16.6%

MIL +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	14.8	15.8	15.5	108.6	113.7	105.7
season	15.1	16.2		100.8	100.1
opponent	15.4	15.4		100.9	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.8	13.7	15.8	13.4	14.8
MIL	15.3	15.6	17.8	14.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Eyenga	24	24	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.17	7	-14	21	15.4	14.7	0.72	16.1	15.7	0.39
Ramon Sessions	42	44	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.15	4	-11	15	13.5	16.0	-2.53	15.1	16.4	-1.30
Luke Harangody	36	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.03	-1	-6	5	15.3	14.5	0.76	16.6	15.2	1.41
Semih Erden	43	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.26	5	-12	17	15.3	14.4	0.95	16.4	15.3	1.15
Joey Graham	10	10	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-1	-5	15.4	14.8	0.63	14.8	15.9	-1.11
Daniel Gibson	56	57	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.36	7	-14	21	13.2	17.3	-4.08	15.3	16.5	-1.14
Manny Harris	36	37	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-6	5	14.6	15.0	-0.37	17.0	15.0	1.94
Anthony Parker	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.14	-11	4	-15	18.8	14.2	4.66	13.9	16.1	-2.16
JJ Hickson	47	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-7	7	14.4	15.3	-0.96	15.3	16.3	-0.92
Ryan Hollins	49	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.09	-10	3	-13	14.4	15.3	-0.91	15.8	15.8	0.06
Baron Davis	52	53	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.09	-13	6	-19	15.9	13.4	2.50	15.8	15.7	0.09
Alonzo Gee	57	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.07	-16	9	-25	15.4	13.9	1.55	15.8	15.8	-0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Drew Gooden	71	70	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.28	10	-3	13	16.3	14.4	1.89	15.5	12.8	2.67
Luc Mbah a Moute	72	70	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.19	13	-6	19	16.1	14.8	1.27	15.2	13.7	1.58
Carlos Delfino	58	56	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.06	15	-8	23	15.8	15.8	-0.08	15.2	14.2	1.03
John Salmons	79	77	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.22	9	-2	11	15.7	16.1	-0.33	15.1	13.6	1.54
Brandon Jennings	71	69	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	1	5	15.5	16.6	-1.12	15.0	14.5	0.51
Keyon Dooling	24	24	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.06	1	6	-5	16.6	15.5	1.12	14.5	15.0	-0.51
Corey Maggette	16	16	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	9	-11	16.1	15.7	0.33	13.6	15.1	-1.54
Michael Redd	37	37	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.24	-8	15	-23	15.8	15.8	0.08	14.2	15.2	-1.03
Larry Sanders	15	15	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.04	-2	9	-11	14.5	16.0	-1.57	10.7	15.6	-4.89
Ersan Ilyasova	32	31	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.09	-7	14	-21	14.7	16.4	-1.71	14.5	15.0	-0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.78,0.78,0.59,0.67,0.81,0.7,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.98,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 89, NYK 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1	94.3%
MIL 99, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.86,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.63,0.81,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1	93.8%
TOR 85, ATL 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.63,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%