NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	85		Excitement	4.9 [802]		MVP	Alan Henderson (ATL): +11.9%
Atlanta Hawks	90		Comeback	1.0 [1136]		LVP	Popeye Jones (TOR): -20.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	15	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Respert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.04	0.04	20	48%	0.00	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
John Wallace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Doug Christie	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Zan Tabak	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.04	0.04	7	62%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.05
Marcus Camby	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.16	-0.00	-0.03	10	14%	-0.09	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.13	-0.06	0.02	9	17%	-0.12	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.04	-0.01	7	85%	0.18	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Dikembe Mutombo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	11	75%	0.13	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Donald Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Ed Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	5	57%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Smith	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	11	61%	0.09	5	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.01	12	44%	0.02	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.18	-0.02	-0.04	14	29%	-0.09	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.3	22.5	16.7	27.0	1.8	30.2	125.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +44.1%

ATL +12.0%

ATL +19.0%

TOR -25.6%

ATL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	ATL	NBA	TOR	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.6	89.5	95.7	102.5
season	15.5	16.1		98.7	105.3
opponent	16.0	14.8		101.5	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.0	14.2	15.0	16.9	15.2
ATL	14.4	14.6	15.7	16.6	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug Christie	54	55	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-5	5	15.0	15.4	-0.41	16.3	13.8	2.48
Carlos Rogers	16	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-1	-3	13.3	15.6	-2.24	16.7	15.0	1.71
Tracy McGrady	22	20	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.06	-2	-3	1	14.8	15.3	-0.47	15.7	15.2	0.51
Marcus Camby	55	52	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-2	-1	14.8	15.7	-0.99	15.3	15.3	-0.02
John Wallace	32	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-5	5	14.5	15.5	-0.98	14.1	16.0	-1.86
Shawn Respert	28	28	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-6	7	16.5	14.6	1.82	14.4	15.7	-1.34
Zan Tabak	62	61	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.31	0	-5	5	15.4	14.7	0.69	14.2	17.4	-3.18
Walt Williams	61	61	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	2	-9	16.0	13.7	2.29	16.0	14.0	2.00
Popeye Jones	53	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	0	-5	15.1	15.3	-0.15	15.5	15.0	0.48
Damon Stoudamire	92	91	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.31	-5	0	-5	15.1	17.3	-2.22	15.2	17.0	-1.76

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	75	78	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-6	17	15.2	15.8	-0.68	15.0	15.9	-0.93
Dikembe Mutombo	71	71	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.36	4	1	3	14.9	16.6	-1.74	15.0	15.7	-0.76
Steven Smith	70	69	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	-6	17	16.5	11.7	4.76	16.3	12.1	4.27
Tyrone Corbin	60	58	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.30	1	4	-3	16.0	14.1	1.94	15.5	14.7	0.78
Alan Henderson	47	51	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.11	6	-1	7	16.0	14.6	1.45	15.9	14.4	1.48
Christian Laettner	65	63	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	5	-5	15.0	16.0	-1.02	14.4	16.7	-2.27
Chucky Brown	28	31	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.06	4	1	3	14.3	15.7	-1.44	14.6	15.4	-0.79
Ed Gray	35	37	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.23	-6	11	-17	12.9	16.7	-3.75	13.7	16.1	-2.42
Donald Whiteside	19	17	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	11	-17	15.8	15.2	0.68	15.9	15.0	0.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.86,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.63,0.8,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.9,0.97,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 85, CHA 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.91,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.85,0.87,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.89,0.77,0.79,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.7%
TOR 101, IND 109	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.89,0.88,0.83,0.83,0.79,0.84,0.83,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.86,0.8,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.96,0.99,1	94.4%
LAL 85, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.91,0.9,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.82,0.71,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.77,0.85,0.97,0.98,1,1	94.4%