NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	89		Excitement	4.9 [809]		MVP	Larry Johnson (NYK): +25.2%
New York Knicks	91		Comeback	1.1 [854]		LVP	Mark Jackson (IND): -6.7%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rik Smits	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.01	10	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Travis Best	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.07	-0.01	0.06	8	67%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	18	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dale Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	9	56%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	23	51%	0.06	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick McKey	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.14	0.08	-0.03	16	78%	0.32	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.04	0.05	-0.04	13	57%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.02	11	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Allan Houston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	12	59%	0.02	3	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.02	-0.04	12	43%	0.00	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.7	29.5	19.0	25.0	2.5	39.8	142.9
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.2%

NYK +3.3%

NYK +6.1%

IND -0.3%

IND -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	17.6	17.3	15.2	108.5	109.6	101.7
season	15.4	16.1		106.5	100.0
opponent	15.8	15.1		98.8	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	18.6	18.7	15.6	17.7	17.6
NYK	14.1	19.2	17.9	18.3	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Croshere	29	30	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.16	6	-8	14	17.8	17.5	0.30	16.8	17.5	-0.75
Sam Perkins	18	19	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-4	6	17.7	17.6	0.04	19.9	16.5	3.39
Derrick McKey	9	8	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	1	-4	16.7	17.8	-1.09	15.9	17.4	-1.55
Travis Best	40	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.43	7	-9	16	17.3	18.0	-0.65	17.3	17.2	0.11
Mark Jackson	42	42	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.08	-7	5	-12	18.0	17.3	0.65	16.8	17.8	-0.95
Dale Davis	62	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	1	-4	17.6	17.7	-0.15	17.2	17.5	-0.34
Reggie Miller	79	81	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.50	3	-5	8	17.4	23.3	-5.92	17.4	12.5	4.90
Jalen Rose	78	79	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.42	-2	0	-2	17.7	16.5	1.19	17.2	19.0	-1.81
Rik Smits	53	54	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.18	-13	11	-24	18.0	17.0	0.93	17.2	17.4	-0.21

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	75	76	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.28	12	-10	22	17.4	16.2	1.14	17.7	16.8	0.86
Charlie Ward	59	57	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.31	7	-5	12	17.0	17.9	-0.84	17.4	18.2	-0.87
Allan Houston	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	1	0	16.9	20.1	-3.18	17.7	17.2	0.43
Kurt Thomas	59	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.22	7	-5	12	17.6	16.5	1.03	17.5	18.0	-0.58
Latrell Sprewell	77	75	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.47	-5	7	-12	17.4	15.3	2.10	17.5	19.6	-2.12
Marcus Camby	32	30	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	1	0	17.3	17.3	0.01	18.4	17.2	1.16
Chris Childs	25	25	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.20	-7	9	-16	17.2	17.3	-0.17	18.2	17.4	0.87
Chris Dudley	14	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.09	-6	8	-14	17.6	17.2	0.44	17.2	17.7	-0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.91,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.89,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.82,0.93,0.93,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 87, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.0%
SEA 86, SAS 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.72,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.98,1	94.8%
ATL 81, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.92,0.87,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.93,0.96,0.96,1,1	94.7%