NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	119		Excitement	13.6 [7]		MVP	JaVale McGee (WAS): +34.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	127		Comeback	40.8 [67]		LVP	Jordan Crawford (WAS): -36.1%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaVale McGee	0.35	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.13	0.22	-0.00	14	73%	0.36	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03
Yi Jianlian	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	14	64%	0.18	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Hamady Ndiaye	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	9	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
John Wall	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	26	51%	0.19	6	-0.29	11	73%	0.02
Othyus Jeffers	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.00	-0.10	0.00	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.12	2	50%	-0.03
Jordan Crawford	-0.36	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.19,-0.18,-0.18,-0.23,-0.23,-0.31,-0.36,-0.36,-0.29,-0.29,-0.36,-0.36	-0.17	-0.23	-0.04	28	42%	-0.04	7	-0.32	4	75%	-0.07

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.10	0.21	0.01	21	65%	0.56	5	-0.27	7	86%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.12	0.00	19	72%	0.43	5	-0.18	8	62%	-0.08
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,0.01,0.08,0.18,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	-0.05	0.20	-0.02	16	53%	0.30	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ike Diogu	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.1	-0.10	-0.00	-0.10	-0.00	6	50%	-0.06	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.05
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.18,-0.31,-0.3,-0.34,-0.34,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.02	-0.12	0.01	18	61%	0.14	7	-0.29	10	80%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1		OT2	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	35.1	15.8	30.0	1.8	38.1	2.4	19.4	2.5	15.2	187.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +56.7%

LAC +3.1%

WAS -7.4%

WAS -5.7%

LAC +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	LAC	NBA	WAS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.9	14.4	15.5	103.5	110.4	105.7
season	15.1	15.4		100.9	104.4
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.2	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	19.1	13.0	16.7	15.8	15.3	15.9
LAC	13.6	14.8	14.0	12.5	17.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JaVale McGee	93	94	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.01	9	-17	26	15.8	16.2	-0.43	13.7	17.6	-3.96
Trevor Booker	47	46	0.21	-0.71	0.91	-0.09	10	-18	28	16.4	15.5	0.89	14.7	14.2	0.52
Maurice Evans	73	72	0.12	-0.62	0.73	0.09	1	-9	10	14.7	17.9	-3.15	15.6	12.4	3.14
Hamady Ndiaye	6	5	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.03	-2	-6	4	11.8	16.1	-4.27	21.0	14.1	6.92
Jordan Crawford	102	103	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.17	-10	2	-12	16.3	12.3	4.03	14.7	11.9	2.75
Kevin Seraphin	16	15	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.07	-15	7	-22	17.1	15.7	1.38	12.0	14.7	-2.74
Othyus Jeffers	49	48	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.64	1	-9	10	14.2	17.1	-2.92	12.2	16.0	-3.77
Yi Jianlian	79	83	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.23	-14	6	-20	17.2	12.9	4.31	14.0	15.3	-1.33
John Wall	102	101	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.41	-12	4	-16	16.0	15.1	0.90	14.5	13.6	0.92

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	100	101	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.25	12	-4	16	14.4	14.3	0.06	16.5	11.7	4.74
Eric Gordon	93	92	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.10	14	-6	20	14.7	13.2	1.48	16.1	14.9	1.21
Jamario Moon	42	41	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-4	16	14.1	14.5	-0.42	14.5	16.6	-2.16
Mo Williams	83	83	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.16	10	-2	12	14.0	15.4	-1.46	16.8	13.4	3.47
Chris Kaman	96	94	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	0	8	15.0	11.1	3.93	16.1	15.1	0.96
Randy Foye	63	64	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.39	0	8	-8	14.2	14.6	-0.32	14.7	17.3	-2.54
Ike Diogu	1	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	8	-8	7.0	14.4	-7.45	13.0	15.9	-2.93
Ryan Gomes	31	29	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	6	-4	14.8	14.2	0.54	19.3	14.7	4.54
Craig Smith	32	33	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.11	-5	13	-18	12.7	15.0	-2.26	13.8	16.7	-2.93
Al-Farouq Aminu	10	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	12	-16	14.1	14.4	-0.31	13.2	16.2	-3.03
Eric Bledsoe	24	24	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.01	-9	17	-26	15.0	14.2	0.78	14.2	16.3	-2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.62,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.59,0.53,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.72,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.77,0.59,0.6,0.47,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.84,0.5,0.55,0.34,0.22,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 111, ORL 116	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.52,0.63,0.6,0.81,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.47,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.36,0.43,0.58,0.54,0.47,0.63,0.67,0.74,1	87.4%
NYK 102, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.77,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.4,0.66,0.53,0.78,0.67,0.82,0.54,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.17,0	86.9%
DAL 94, MEM 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.64,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.67,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.83,0.46,0.45,0.16,0.07,0.02,0	86.8%