NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	103		Excitement	6.2 [582]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): +30.3%
Boston Celtics	107		Comeback	1.0 [1109]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -24.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.22,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.3	0.27	0.05	0.02	24	68%	0.38	2	-0.08	12	92%	0.04
Dorell Wright	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	10	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Al Thornton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	19	59%	0.06	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Acie Law	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	40%	-0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	-0.24	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24	-0.09	-0.14	0.01	11	41%	-0.03	4	-0.21	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.22,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.14	0.18	0.01	14	75%	0.42	4	-0.11	8	100%	0.05
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21	0.21	0.22	0.02	0.03	13	87%	0.24	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.02	-0.01	11	78%	0.23	3	-0.13	5	100%	0.02
Von Wafer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	5	69%	0.05	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	11	27%	-0.09	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.6	29.1	15.4	29.2	1.8	35.3	137.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +32.9%

BOS +11.6%

GSW -9.7%

BOS +12.6%

BOS +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BOS	NBA	GSW	BOS	NBA
this game	14.6	16.7	15.5	110.8	117.6	105.7
season	14.8	15.7		106.6	104.8
opponent	15.8	15.2		99.6	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.2	16.3	14.3	13.8	14.6
BOS	16.5	16.5	17.0	16.9	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Acie Law	30	29	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-8	12	16.0	14.0	2.05	17.8	16.2	1.63
Al Thornton	4	3	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-3	2	13.0	14.7	-1.69	21.0	16.6	4.43
Lou Amundson	33	31	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-5	6	15.5	14.1	1.45	17.9	16.1	1.80
Ekpe Udoh	25	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.05	-1	-3	2	14.3	14.7	-0.46	15.5	17.2	-1.70
Reggie Williams	16	14	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-2	0	16.3	14.3	2.05	14.3	17.2	-2.87
Vladimir Radmanovic	39	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.29	4	-8	12	15.3	14.1	1.15	17.5	16.1	1.44
Monta Ellis	86	85	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.41	3	-7	10	14.1	21.4	-7.37	17.1	11.5	5.58
David Lee	80	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.42	1	-5	6	14.1	17.5	-3.40	16.4	18.6	-2.22
Andris Biedrins	33	32	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.02	-13	9	-22	16.0	13.8	2.20	16.8	16.7	0.10
Dorell Wright	56	55	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.20	-8	4	-12	14.1	15.4	-1.36	16.3	17.4	-1.12
Stephen Curry	63	62	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.29	-8	4	-12	14.0	16.0	-2.05	16.2	17.8	-1.63

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	75	76	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.39	9	-5	14	15.9	20.4	-4.44	14.9	13.1	1.83
Kevin Garnett	68	68	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-7	18	15.4	20.7	-5.27	14.4	15.1	-0.69
Rajon Rondo	80	83	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.38	4	0	4	15.9	22.4	-6.43	14.7	14.3	0.35
Nenad Krstic	51	53	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.07	12	-8	20	15.7	18.0	-2.34	14.9	14.2	0.68
Paul Pierce	71	74	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.26	5	-1	6	16.0	19.3	-3.38	14.6	14.5	0.17
Jeff Green	50	51	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.45	-9	13	-22	18.1	15.0	3.12	14.2	15.1	-0.84
Chris Johnson	15	14	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	4	-4	21.5	15.8	5.69	16.9	14.2	2.73
Von Wafer	10	10	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	3	-2	18.6	16.5	2.12	14.0	14.7	-0.69
Avery Bradley	16	14	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	8	-12	21.5	15.7	5.81	12.9	14.9	-2.07
Troy Murphy	19	22	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	13	-22	20.9	15.6	5.28	13.9	14.8	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.91,0.89,0.89,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.64,0.76,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 77, CLE 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.74,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.84,0.74,0.82,0.87,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.76,0.71,0.94,0.87,1	93.8%
NOH 94, POR 95	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.78,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.76,0.84,1	93.8%
WAS 101, HOU 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.92,0.91,0.9,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.86,0.78,0.86,0.9,0.94,0.9,1	93.7%