NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	87		Excitement	4.4 [977]		MVP	Marco Belinelli (NOH): +13.8%
New Orleans Hornets	98		Comeback	1.6 [1014]		LVP	Chris Kaman (LAC): -9.9%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Randy Foye	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	13	54%	0.04	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.00	0.03	5	57%	0.02	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Craig Smith	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Willie Warren	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	6	38%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	17	50%	0.03	4	-0.08	8	62%	-0.01
Ryan Gomes	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	6	58%	0.03	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	5	70%	0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	11	54%	-0.01	4	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	7	80%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.04	0.03	11	71%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.03	-0.04	17	50%	0.13	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	18	52%	0.11	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	60%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	7	56%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
David Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	8	33%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	3.5	32.2	18.6	28.5	3.4	37.3	147.3
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +39.8%

NOH +0.7%

LAC -7.4%

NOH +14.8%

NOH +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	NOH	NBA	LAC	NOH	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.5	93.5	104.3	105.7
season	15.4	16.2		104.4	104.6
opponent	15.9	15.3		104.4	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.7	16.1	16.9	13.4	15.7
NOH	14.7	15.9	14.4	15.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Willie Warren	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-14	17	12.5	15.8	-3.29	13.0	15.1	-2.13
DeAndre Jordan	30	30	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.12	2	-13	15	17.0	15.1	1.84	16.8	14.3	2.57
Rasual Butler	33	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.19	4	-15	19	14.7	16.3	-1.63	14.1	15.6	-1.55
Craig Smith	9	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-11	11	16.1	15.7	0.43	16.0	15.0	1.01
Brian Cook	13	14	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-7	3	15.2	15.8	-0.57	12.4	15.6	-3.21
Al-Farouq Aminu	49	48	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-12	13	14.4	17.2	-2.77	15.2	14.9	0.29
Chris Kaman	50	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.09	-9	-2	-7	15.1	16.4	-1.34	14.8	15.4	-0.61
Ryan Gomes	44	46	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	1	-13	17.2	14.4	2.77	14.9	15.2	-0.29
Randy Foye	74	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	2	-15	16.1	14.3	1.77	15.5	13.2	2.33
Blake Griffin	84	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.10	-11	0	-11	15.7	16.1	-0.43	15.0	16.0	-1.01
Eric Bledsoe	77	77	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	5	-21	15.9	14.8	1.10	15.1	14.8	0.32

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Gray	50	52	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.13	13	-2	15	14.9	15.2	-0.31	17.0	14.1	2.86
Chris Paul	75	75	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.01	16	-5	21	14.9	15.8	-0.88	15.8	15.4	0.41
David West	64	66	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.10	9	2	7	15.7	13.9	1.79	16.0	15.1	0.86
Willie Green	64	61	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	3	5	15.8	13.5	2.28	16.5	14.2	2.29
Trevor Ariza	68	68	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	-2	15	15.2	14.8	0.33	15.6	15.9	-0.27
Jarrett Jack	42	43	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.20	2	9	-7	13.7	16.2	-2.52	14.5	16.8	-2.33
Jason Smith	62	58	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	8	-5	15.3	14.7	0.65	14.8	17.2	-2.37
Marco Belinelli	31	30	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	14	-17	15.8	14.7	1.12	16.1	15.5	0.56
David Andersen	12	10	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	14	-17	11.5	15.6	-4.11	12.7	16.1	-3.38
Quincy Pondexter	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	14	-17	13.0	15.1	-2.13	12.5	15.8	-3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.74,0.8,0.81,0.91,0.89,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.91,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, BOS 120	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
POR 89, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.81,0.89,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.82,0.86,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	95.0%
CHA 93, DEN 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.84,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.98,0.96,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%