inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 75 Excitement4.8 [897] MVPDwight Howard (ORL): +16.1%
Orlando Magic 89 Comeback1.3 [739] LVPShannon Brown (LAL): -12.6%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Andrew Bynum0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.020.011553%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Lamar Odom0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.020.00-0.021147%0.031-0.021050%-0.03
Derrick Caracter0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0310%0.0000.0020%0.00
Devin Ebanks0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Walton-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Metta World Peace-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00642%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Derek Fisher-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.00729%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Pau Gasol-0.040,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.010.011244%-0.011-0.031100%0.00
Steve Blake-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant-0.060,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.04-0.001847%0.002-0.0600%0.00
Shannon Brown-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.11-0.020.001127%-0.072-0.0500%0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwight Howard0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.140.100.081682%0.346-0.17683%0.00
Ryan Anderson0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.090.040.00590%0.1300.0000%0.00
Earl Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00375%0.0500.002100%0.01
Jason Richardson0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.02-0.02-0.031540%-0.0100.0000%0.00
JJ Redick0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.02643%0.011-0.02250%-0.00
Hedo Turkoglu0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.01-0.00856%0.053-0.0700%0.00
Brandon Bass0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.00650%0.031-0.0500%0.00
Jameer Nelson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.011030%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Gilbert Arenas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.12-0.01-0.04729%-0.034-0.0700%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.43.425.618.625.12.031.2130.3
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +61.0%
ORL +1.4%
ORL +6.3%
LAL -22.2%
ORL +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALORLNBALALORLNBA
this game17.016.315.587.2102.3105.7
season15.915.2108.8106.3
opponent16.215.5101.1103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL18.715.018.116.417.0
ORL14.913.817.919.616.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derrick Caracter550.00-0.500.50-0.124-182211.617.3-5.7021.016.04.95
Devin Ebanks230.00-0.500.50-0.124-18224.517.3-12.7620.316.24.14
Luke Walton2020-0.09-0.410.32-0.06-1-131214.717.6-2.8914.217.0-2.77
Metta World Peace3839-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-4-10618.515.82.7016.016.6-0.60
Shannon Brown4444-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-10615.218.8-3.5117.115.61.53
Pau Gasol6263-0.25-0.250.000.02-9-5-417.515.52.0916.416.20.23
Derek Fisher4747-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-11-3-818.615.03.5516.416.20.25
Steve Blake5151-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.05-10-4-615.519.1-3.6216.316.4-0.09
Lamar Odom5152-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.07-10-4-616.018.3-2.2816.416.30.08
Andrew Bynum5454-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.01-13-1-1217.715.81.8915.817.2-1.42
Kobe Bryant5657-0.46-0.04-0.420.01-162-1818.514.14.4516.516.10.36

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Howard65670.470.030.45-0.0518-42217.313.63.6717.913.64.28
Brandon Bass55520.460.040.420.051401416.216.6-0.3616.218.1-1.95
Hedo Turkoglu62610.350.150.210.1577015.618.1-2.5117.216.30.91
Jason Richardson63620.320.180.150.00113817.214.22.9918.213.74.58
JJ Redick49490.320.180.140.03104616.216.5-0.3415.019.5-4.52
Jameer Nelson50490.300.200.100.0495416.516.10.3418.115.42.69
Gilbert Arenas37370.200.30-0.100.0559-416.116.5-0.3415.418.1-2.69
Ryan Anderson33330.140.36-0.220.17-115-1616.516.30.2017.516.70.79
Earl Clark2120-0.070.57-0.640.02-317-2013.617.2-3.5815.017.6-2.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.8,0.93,0.94,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
POR 94, ORL 1020.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,194.6%
MIN 86, SAS 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.62,0.66,0.81,0.85,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,194.6%
CHA 109, WAS 1210.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.63,0.71,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,194.6%