NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	109		Excitement	5.7 [687]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +24.2%
Washington Wizards	121		Comeback	1.4 [808]		LVP	Emeka Okafor (CHA): -18.9%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Adam Morrison	0.14	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	18	62%	0.17	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.03	0.01	7	71%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Primoz Brezec	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	3	89%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.00
Sean May	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	64%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Bernard Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	3	62%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Carroll	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	57%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.05	13	71%	0.13	5	-0.15	5	100%	0.03
Raymond Felton	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	9	55%	-0.02	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Emeka Okafor	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.07	0.01	12	43%	-0.04	5	-0.15	4	100%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.21,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.14	0.09	-0.01	15	69%	0.24	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.00	-0.02	20	63%	0.19	6	-0.11	12	75%	0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	-0.00	-0.03	8	69%	0.10	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	15	63%	0.14	3	-0.09	8	75%	0.02
Donell Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	5	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	3	57%	0.04	3	-0.06	8	50%	-0.04
Etan Thomas	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.7	28.1	16.4	28.4	1.8	28.2	128.8
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +29.9%

CHA -2.8%

CHA -6.6%

WAS +26.3%

WAS +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	WAS	NBA	CHA	WAS	NBA
this game	14.3	14.5	15.4	107.9	122.2	104.5
season	15.7	14.8		101.7	107.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		108.7	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	16.5	13.0	14.0	14.0	14.3
WAS	14.8	13.7	13.2	16.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bernard Robinson	12	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.04	-3	-9	6	11.4	14.7	-3.25	19.6	13.9	5.75
Jake Voskuhl	15	15	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-9	6	16.5	13.9	2.57	14.4	14.5	-0.15
Primoz Brezec	32	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-12	12	13.6	14.6	-1.00	14.6	14.5	0.15
Derek Anderson	27	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-14	16	12.9	14.8	-1.89	16.7	13.7	3.05
Matt Carroll	17	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-10	8	12.8	14.6	-1.75	13.4	14.8	-1.34
Emeka Okafor	58	57	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-7	2	15.3	13.0	2.31	13.9	15.4	-1.57
Gerald Wallace	78	76	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.08	-5	-7	2	14.3	14.3	-0.09	15.2	12.3	2.84
Brevin Knight	79	78	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-6	0	14.1	15.0	-0.98	14.1	16.1	-2.05
Sean May	41	41	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-1	-10	14.6	14.0	0.56	13.8	15.0	-1.23
Adam Morrison	79	77	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-1	-10	14.4	14.0	0.35	14.3	15.2	-0.90
Raymond Felton	67	63	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.05	-16	4	-20	14.7	13.5	1.22	14.0	15.4	-1.44

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	82	84	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.04	18	-6	24	14.0	17.3	-3.34	14.2	14.8	-0.59
Gilbert Arenas	75	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.01	15	-3	18	14.5	14.6	-0.13	13.7	16.0	-2.24
Etan Thomas	44	44	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-3	18	13.2	15.6	-2.38	15.5	13.4	2.13
DeShawn Stevenson	66	67	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.03	14	-2	16	14.3	15.0	-0.67	14.2	14.4	-0.20
Caron Butler	89	90	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	8	-4	14.9	11.2	3.70	14.3	14.1	0.21
Jarvis Hayes	27	28	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.10	2	10	-8	15.0	14.3	0.70	14.5	14.2	0.31
Antonio Daniels	37	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	8	-4	15.2	14.1	1.15	14.3	14.3	-0.02
Donell Taylor	24	25	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.16	-3	15	-18	14.6	14.5	0.13	16.0	13.7	2.24
Brendan Haywood	51	53	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.33	-9	21	-30	15.4	13.6	1.87	13.4	15.3	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.78,0.79,0.63,0.71,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 98, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
MIA 89, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.9%
ORL 76, DAL 93	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.71,0.72,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.8%