NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	103		Excitement	5.1 [827]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): +31.2%
New York Knicks	117		Comeback	1.2 [959]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (PHI): -18.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.02	0.04	12	66%	0.10	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Elton Brand	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	-0.00	0.06	14	74%	0.13	2	-0.04	10	80%	0.02
Jodie Meeks	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	7	57%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	64%	0.09	3	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Andre Iguodala	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.04	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	12	67%	-0.02
Jrue Holiday	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.17	-0.03	-0.02	8	12%	-0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.29	0.08	0.05	21	84%	0.37	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.03
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.19	0.04	0.03	13	96%	0.27	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.00	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	12	50%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	8	62%	0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	6	56%	0.04	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	12	50%	-0.02	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.8	29.1	17.5	28.4	2.6	28.5	134.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +49.6%

PHI -0.7%

NYK +3.5%

PHI -1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NYK	NBA	PHI	NYK	NBA
this game	15.6	16.1	15.5	112.0	130.0	105.7
season	15.5	14.3		104.6	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		108.4	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.2	15.8	17.1	14.1	15.6
NYK	14.2	14.8	15.6	20.2	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	10	10	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.03	-4	-10	6	18.2	15.2	2.96	14.7	16.3	-1.56
Thaddeus Young	58	58	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.10	-2	-12	10	15.4	15.9	-0.46	16.3	15.7	0.62
Lou Williams	51	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	-8	2	14.8	16.5	-1.71	17.3	14.5	2.74
Spencer Hawes	33	31	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-6	-2	15.8	15.5	0.30	14.6	16.9	-2.25
Andre Iguodala	65	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-10	6	15.9	14.7	1.17	16.5	15.1	1.42
Evan Turner	53	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-6	-2	15.4	15.8	-0.44	16.4	15.6	0.84
Jodie Meeks	49	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.07	-12	-2	-10	15.6	15.6	-0.03	15.2	16.9	-1.69
Elton Brand	72	70	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	-7	0	15.5	15.6	-0.11	16.2	15.8	0.31
Jrue Holiday	69	68	-0.61	0.11	-0.71	-0.05	-19	5	-24	15.7	15.3	0.35	15.7	17.2	-1.51

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	70	73	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.06	13	1	12	16.5	14.7	1.79	15.2	16.8	-1.54
Raymond Felton	74	74	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-2	18	15.6	18.6	-3.01	15.5	16.0	-0.54
Danilo Gallinari	58	62	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	1	12	16.2	16.0	0.19	15.8	15.1	0.74
Amar'e Stoudemire	68	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	3	8	16.0	16.3	-0.30	15.4	16.3	-0.93
Timofey Mozgov	55	59	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.04	8	6	2	15.4	17.1	-1.72	15.6	15.5	0.17
Wilson Chandler	52	51	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.04	7	7	0	16.4	15.7	0.70	15.6	15.5	0.18
Shawne Williams	33	32	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	8	-2	16.2	16.0	0.15	15.9	15.4	0.47
Toney Douglas	40	38	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.24	-4	18	-22	16.9	15.5	1.41	15.9	15.3	0.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 74, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
DET 79, BOS 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.0%
NJN 82, DET 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.8%