NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	82		Excitement	5.0 [856]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (NJN): +16.4%
Detroit Pistons	92		Comeback	1.0 [1072]		LVP	Travis Outlaw (NJN): -10.6%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.18	-0.01	0.00	12	81%	0.18	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Ben Uzoh	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Brook Lopez	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	14	53%	0.08	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Orien Greene	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Devin Harris	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	60%	0.03	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Sasha Vujacic	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	12	29%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	9	33%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.01	18	54%	0.13	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.01	14	61%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	0%	-0.05
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.03	-0.00	10	60%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	80%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	20	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
DaJuan Summers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.7	28.5	16.8	24.2	2.4	29.3	128.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +24.3%

DET +2.3%

DET +18.6%

DET +7.4%

NJN -2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DET	NBA	NJN	DET	NBA
this game	17.6	18.1	15.5	101.2	115.0	105.7
season	16.4	16.7		101.6	106.4
opponent	15.2	15.3		110.1	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	17.0	18.9	16.8	18.0	17.6
DET	15.7	17.1	19.2	21.0	18.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	23	21	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.16	9	-19	28	17.2	17.8	-0.58	20.2	17.4	2.83
Johan Petro	17	16	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.12	7	-17	24	19.9	17.0	2.85	17.2	18.4	-1.13
Orien Greene	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-14	18	16.5	17.7	-1.16	22.0	18.1	3.95
Ben Uzoh	14	16	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	-8	6	17.0	17.8	-0.76	14.2	19.1	-4.95
Kris Humphries	44	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-8	6	17.8	17.4	0.36	17.0	19.5	-2.44
Anthony Morrow	59	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-7	4	17.8	17.1	0.74	18.7	16.4	2.27
Derrick Favors	34	33	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	-4	-2	17.6	17.7	-0.12	19.4	17.3	2.12
Devin Harris	67	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-2	-6	17.8	17.0	0.76	19.1	14.2	4.95
Sasha Vujacic	34	33	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.01	-15	5	-20	18.4	17.1	1.25	16.7	19.2	-2.47
Travis Outlaw	47	46	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.03	-17	7	-24	17.0	18.5	-1.50	17.5	19.0	-1.43
Brook Lopez	64	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.08	-17	7	-24	17.0	19.9	-2.85	18.4	17.2	1.13

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	61	59	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.09	18	-8	26	18.8	16.0	2.82	17.5	18.0	-0.45
Greg Monroe	70	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.17	15	-5	20	18.5	15.9	2.57	17.4	19.5	-2.13
Ben Gordon	60	60	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.17	15	-5	20	18.6	16.8	1.73	17.0	19.4	-2.36
Tracy McGrady	55	55	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	-4	18	19.5	15.3	4.17	17.7	17.6	0.08
Austin Daye	41	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	7	-4	18.1	18.2	-0.01	18.3	16.9	1.33
Ben Wallace	30	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	6	-2	19.4	17.4	2.05	16.8	18.1	-1.30
Will Bynum	28	29	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.18	-5	15	-20	16.1	19.3	-3.20	18.3	17.2	1.11
Chris Wilcox	19	19	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	12	-14	14.9	19.1	-4.20	18.5	17.4	1.10
Charlie Villanueva	17	18	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	14	-18	15.8	18.8	-2.95	18.4	17.4	1.05
DaJuan Summers	19	22	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.11	-8	18	-26	16.0	18.8	-2.82	18.0	17.5	0.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 79, BOS 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.51,0.65,0.74,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.88,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.6%
TOR 74, MIL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.65,0.69,0.75,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
PHI 103, NYK 117	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.77,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.86,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.8%