NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	106		Excitement	4.3 [993]		MVP	Lou Williams (PHI): +16.4%
New Jersey Nets	92		Comeback	1.1 [808]		LVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): -8.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.18	0.02	0.04	12	79%	0.19	2	-0.03	9	100%	0.04
Jodie Meeks	0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	-0.00	9	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Jrue Holiday	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.01	7	47%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	15	53%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	13	52%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jason Kapono	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	14	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.02	0.01	9	73%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Ben Uzoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	0.00	0.04	7	71%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.05	8	70%	0.07	5	-0.11	7	86%	0.02
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	6	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	19	42%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	31.2	15.5	28.6	1.7	26.3	128.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +16.7%

PHI +10.9%

PHI +11.0%

PHI +11.2%

PHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	16.4	15.4	15.5	116.5	102.2	105.7
season	15.5	16.4		104.6	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	16.8	16.0	14.0	19.0	16.4
NJN	15.2	16.0	16.0	14.3	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	67	65	0.54	-0.04	0.57	-0.02	19	-5	24	17.3	14.0	3.21	15.7	14.7	0.96
Andre Iguodala	69	68	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.09	13	1	12	17.4	13.3	4.13	16.0	13.6	2.41
Elton Brand	66	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.09	13	1	12	17.6	13.2	4.48	15.5	15.2	0.36
Spencer Hawes	56	54	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.09	11	3	8	17.2	15.1	2.15	14.6	16.6	-2.05
Lou Williams	58	58	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.07	7	7	0	16.7	15.9	0.73	15.6	15.0	0.59
Jodie Meeks	51	51	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.08	5	9	-4	15.1	18.1	-3.07	14.4	16.8	-2.40
Jason Kapono	0	1	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	11	-8	0.0	16.4	-16.41	0.0	15.6	-15.58
Thaddeus Young	44	44	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.06	-1	15	-16	14.7	18.0	-3.34	16.2	14.7	1.46
Marreese Speights	10	11	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	14	-14	10.8	17.1	-6.30	15.5	15.4	0.15
Tony Battie	5	5	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.02	1	13	-12	17.8	16.3	1.47	19.2	15.2	4.01
Evan Turner	29	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	15	-16	13.8	17.6	-3.79	14.8	15.7	-0.86

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	42	43	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.21	11	-25	36	15.0	15.8	-0.82	15.7	17.0	-1.26
Ben Uzoh	18	18	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.07	3	-17	20	17.4	14.9	2.54	18.0	16.0	1.99
Johan Petro	26	25	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.01	1	-15	16	13.2	16.3	-3.17	13.1	17.7	-4.59
Quinton Ross	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	15.0	15.4	-0.42	14.0	16.4	-2.43
Orien Greene	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-13	12	15.0	15.4	-0.42	14.0	16.4	-2.43
Kris Humphries	47	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.19	3	-17	20	15.2	15.7	-0.50	18.2	14.3	3.89
Stephen Graham	16	17	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.12	-12	-2	-10	14.0	15.7	-1.72	15.6	16.6	-1.01
Anthony Morrow	57	57	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-3	-8	16.1	14.2	1.89	16.1	16.9	-0.76
Travis Outlaw	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.09	-12	-2	-10	15.4	15.5	-0.07	17.2	14.6	2.53
Derrick Favors	42	41	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.11	-19	5	-24	15.8	15.1	0.66	14.6	17.9	-3.23
Brook Lopez	64	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	1	-16	16.3	13.2	3.17	17.7	13.1	4.59
Devin Harris	72	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.02	-17	3	-20	14.9	17.4	-2.54	16.0	18.0	-1.99

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 99, BOS 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
DAL 114, NYK 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.45,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.27,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
MIL 92, NJN 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0	95.3%