NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	92		Excitement	4.8 [698]		MVP	Anthony Morrow (NJN): +13.4%
New Jersey Nets	85		Comeback	1.1 [682]		LVP	MarShon Brooks (NJN): -11.7%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.03	0.00	23	56%	0.13	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.01
Jon Leuer	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.06	9	55%	0.07	4	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Larry Sanders	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	10	55%	0.10	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	15	52%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jon Brockman	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	9	37%	-0.02	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.01
Beno Udrih	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.01	-0.00	11	74%	0.13	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Andre Emmett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	36%	-0.04	0	0.00	11	45%	-0.06
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	0.08	24	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	4	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	8	21%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.07	-0.02	0.03	14	33%	-0.10	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.8	29.2	15.7	24.0	1.8	32.0	131.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +46.0%

MIL +2.7%

MIL +6.7%

NJN -4.6%

NJN -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	NJN	NBA	MIL	NJN	NBA
this game	15.0	16.3	15.6	100.0	92.4	102.8
season	14.6	16.2		103.8	101.3
opponent	15.2	15.6		107.6	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.2	13.2	13.7	18.0	15.0
NJN	15.5	18.1	16.3	15.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	65	66	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-7	21	15.0	15.0	-0.08	15.9	17.4	-1.53
Brandon Jennings	65	66	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.14	13	-6	19	14.5	16.1	-1.55	16.2	16.6	-0.40
Shaun Livingston	66	65	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.21	10	-3	13	15.2	14.5	0.72	16.6	15.7	0.93
Ersan Ilyasova	69	70	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	0	7	14.6	16.0	-1.36	16.7	15.2	1.44
Jon Leuer	32	33	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	-2	11	16.6	14.1	2.43	16.5	16.3	0.20
Luc Mbah a Moute	56	54	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	8	-9	14.7	15.4	-0.72	16.5	16.1	0.42
Beno Udrih	32	32	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.16	-5	12	-17	15.2	14.8	0.42	16.7	16.1	0.51
Larry Sanders	9	9	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.03	-1	8	-9	12.6	15.2	-2.69	11.2	16.9	-5.66
Jon Brockman	18	18	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	7	-7	15.6	14.8	0.72	16.8	16.2	0.56
Stephen Jackson	16	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	9	-11	15.2	14.9	0.25	16.5	16.3	0.25
Mike Dunleavy	32	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.22	-9	16	-25	15.2	14.9	0.27	16.5	16.2	0.22

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sundiata Gaines	32	32	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-11	15	15.0	17.0	-1.99	15.8	14.5	1.28
Andre Emmett	10	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-7	7	14.5	16.5	-2.05	15.6	14.9	0.64
Jordan Williams	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.03	-2	-5	3	15.0	16.4	-1.44	15.3	15.0	0.33
Johan Petro	3	2	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-2	-3	24.7	16.0	8.62	7.0	15.2	-8.16
Anthony Morrow	69	70	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.42	10	-17	27	15.4	19.0	-3.57	15.9	12.0	3.97
Shelden Williams	49	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-10	13	16.2	16.4	-0.22	16.8	13.1	3.70
Brook Lopez	43	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-5	3	16.8	15.9	0.92	13.8	16.1	-2.35
MarShon Brooks	70	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.28	-5	-2	-3	15.9	17.6	-1.66	14.9	15.2	-0.33
Kris Humphries	58	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.20	-8	1	-9	16.7	15.7	0.98	15.2	14.7	0.49
Deron Williams	70	71	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.25	-9	2	-11	16.7	15.3	1.38	14.9	15.2	-0.27
DeShawn Stevenson	49	49	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.07	-21	14	-35	17.8	14.6	3.19	12.6	17.7	-5.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 113, WAS 85	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
MIN 95, LAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
PHI 106, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%