NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	99		Excitement	3.2 [1141]		MVP	Reggie Miller (IND): +11.4%
Boston Celtics	81		Comeback	1.1 [584]		LVP	Metta World Peace (IND): -12.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Reggie Miller	0.11	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.02	9	82%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Fred Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	4	90%	0.05	1	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.09	-0.01	0.04	6	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	13	62%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	1	80%	0.00	2	-0.00	3	67%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	13	53%	-0.00	5	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	11	33%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Metta World Peace	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.02	-0.05	11	33%	-0.09	2	-0.04	8	50%	-0.04

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	3	133%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	70%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Mihm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	3	80%	-0.00	2	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	70%	0.03	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	8	50%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Brandon Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	-0.06	7	0%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	19	47%	-0.01	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	6	17%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.8	32.3	15.4	23.7	1.8	29.2	130.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +27.6%

BOS -2.1%

IND +10.1%

IND +13.9%

IND +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	BOS	NBA	IND	BOS	NBA
this game	16.3	15.2	15.7	108.8	88.0	100.5
season	16.7	14.4		101.1	99.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		102.1	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	17.4	13.6	18.3	16.4	16.3
BOS	16.9	14.7	15.2	14.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	37	36	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.17	25	-7	32	14.8	17.3	-2.55	17.2	13.9	3.30
Jeff Foster	39	39	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.03	14	4	10	16.3	16.3	-0.07	16.7	14.1	2.66
Metta World Peace	56	57	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.06	17	1	16	16.4	16.1	0.30	15.4	14.9	0.48
Jamaal Tinsley	43	45	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.12	19	-1	20	15.0	17.5	-2.50	16.3	14.1	2.20
Jermaine O'Neal	53	52	0.38	0.12	0.25	-0.12	17	1	16	16.5	16.1	0.42	16.3	13.8	2.49
Jonathan Bender	36	36	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.05	1	17	-16	16.2	16.3	-0.12	15.0	15.3	-0.35
Fred Jones	44	45	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	14	-10	17.0	15.6	1.36	14.2	16.1	-1.93
Austin Croshere	35	36	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.07	-1	19	-20	16.3	16.3	-0.02	14.1	15.9	-1.72
Anthony Johnson	35	34	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.08	4	14	-10	17.8	15.4	2.44	14.2	15.8	-1.55
Al Harrington	65	68	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	16.6	15.6	0.95	13.6	19.6	-6.01
Kenny Anderson	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	23	-28	16.3	16.3	0.04	13.5	15.4	-1.94

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mihm	22	23	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-22	26	14.5	15.4	-0.96	16.4	16.2	0.18
Kendrick Perkins	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-17	16	12.5	15.4	-2.94	14.0	16.5	-2.52
Jumaine Jones	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-21	24	13.6	15.5	-1.90	15.5	16.4	-0.94
Walter McCarty	55	54	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-20	22	14.0	16.9	-2.86	16.9	15.5	1.37
Marcus Banks	30	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.25	8	-26	34	12.8	16.4	-3.59	17.4	15.8	1.65
Ricky Davis	59	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-14	10	14.3	16.8	-2.45	16.2	16.4	-0.12
Jiri Welsch	39	42	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	-6	-6	16.0	14.6	1.42	15.9	16.6	-0.68
Chucky Atkins	62	61	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.27	-26	8	-34	16.4	12.8	3.59	15.8	17.4	-1.65
Brandon Hunter	37	37	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	0.09	-20	2	-22	16.9	14.0	2.86	15.5	16.9	-1.37
Paul Pierce	72	70	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.16	-23	5	-28	15.8	13.0	2.73	16.7	14.9	1.81
Mark Blount	62	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.08	-21	3	-24	15.8	13.9	1.86	16.5	15.8	0.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 122, MIN 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
PHI 106, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.39,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
DAL 114, CLE 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.41,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.22,0.24,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%