NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	122		Excitement	3.8 [1048]		MVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): +17.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	106		Comeback	1.2 [1159]		LVP	Lorenzo Brown (MIN): -7.3%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.02	14	79%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	8	84%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	0.00	0.01	15	70%	0.10	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	67%	0.07	4	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Alan Anderson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	4	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	17	50%	0.03	3	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Darius Morris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Jordan	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	40%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cory Jefferson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.05	6	29%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Markel Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.17	0.03	0.06	10	90%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	14	48%	0.04	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	16	61%	0.09	4	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	7	61%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	15	67%	0.11	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Adreian Payne	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	13	43%	0.01	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	2.4	26.6	15.6	27.3	1.7	23.8	119.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +26.9%

MIN -1.0%

BKN +3.6%

BKN +20.9%

MIN -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIN	NBA	BKN	MIN	NBA
this game	14.3	14.7	15.1	123.2	107.1	104.2
season	15.3	15.0		102.9	101.2
opponent	15.0	15.3		110.5	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.0	13.8	12.4	15.6	14.3
MIN	14.0	16.2	13.3	15.7	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	54	54	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.07	22	-6	28	14.1	14.6	-0.43	14.1	15.6	-1.52
Deron Williams	47	46	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.13	24	-8	32	14.4	14.3	0.12	14.5	15.0	-0.46
Brook Lopez	47	45	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.14	24	-8	32	14.4	14.3	0.12	14.6	14.9	-0.23
Thaddeus Young	70	67	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.06	20	-4	24	14.2	14.7	-0.49	14.3	15.6	-1.25
Bojan Bogdanovic	54	54	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	9	-2	14.3	14.4	-0.19	15.6	13.8	1.82
Markel Brown	58	57	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.08	9	7	2	14.3	14.5	-0.20	13.8	16.0	-2.18
Darius Morris	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	19.0	14.2	4.80	11.7	14.9	-3.12
Jerome Jordan	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	15	-14	19.0	14.2	4.80	11.7	14.9	-3.12
Alan Anderson	32	33	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.15	-6	22	-28	15.0	14.0	0.92	16.1	14.1	2.06
Cory Jefferson	29	32	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	20	-24	14.7	14.2	0.49	15.6	14.3	1.25
Mason Plumlee	49	50	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.20	-9	25	-34	14.0	14.7	-0.68	15.1	14.4	0.71
Jarrett Jack	49	49	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.19	-9	25	-34	14.0	14.7	-0.68	15.2	14.3	0.94

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	53	54	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.14	7	-23	30	15.2	14.3	0.87	14.5	14.1	0.39
Lorenzo Brown	32	33	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.16	7	-23	30	17.3	13.5	3.79	15.1	14.0	1.12
Adreian Payne	45	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.03	-10	-6	-4	14.9	14.6	0.26	15.5	13.3	2.24
Justin Hamilton	71	70	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	-9	2	14.9	14.4	0.49	13.7	16.0	-2.34
Gorgui Dieng	82	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.00	-15	-1	-14	14.5	15.7	-1.16	14.3	14.8	-0.51
Andrew Wiggins	77	76	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.03	-17	1	-18	14.9	14.2	0.73	14.5	13.7	0.79
Zach LaVine	67	66	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	0.13	-23	7	-30	13.5	17.3	-3.79	14.0	15.1	-1.12
Kevin Martin	68	68	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	0.05	-22	6	-28	14.2	15.8	-1.59	14.0	15.1	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.43,0.3,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 99, BOS 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
MIN 121, UTA 104	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.36,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
CHI 123, TOR 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.42,0.37,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%