NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	106		Excitement	5.4 [756]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (CLE): +7.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	98		Comeback	1.2 [1105]		LVP	Ramon Sessions (CLE): -13.6%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	5	75%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.00	9	65%	0.10	3	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.00	-0.01	17	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,-0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.02	18	63%	0.17	5	-0.13	7	100%	0.03
Marcin Gortat	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	10	67%	0.11	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Jared Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	47%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.02	6	25%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.03	0.01	21	50%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Daniel Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.03	0.04	13	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.03	-0.03	9	28%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Gee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Manny Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	0.02	6	71%	0.04	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	55%	0.08	4	-0.11	7	86%	0.03
Samardo Samuels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.07	0.03	15	54%	0.01	5	-0.14	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.7	29.0	14.8	27.4	1.8	33.4	129.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +27.9%

PHX +3.7%

PHX +9.6%

PHX +5.7%

PHX +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	CLE	NBA	PHX	CLE	NBA
this game	13.7	14.9	15.5	103.9	98.0	105.7
season	14.5	15.1		108.0	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.7		110.2	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.6	13.8	13.0	16.5	13.7
CLE	14.6	15.0	15.8	14.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcin Gortat	57	58	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.14	24	-16	40	13.5	13.9	-0.36	15.0	14.7	0.25
Vince Carter	75	74	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.17	13	-5	18	14.1	12.5	1.56	14.6	15.6	-0.97
Steve Nash	77	77	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	-1	10	13.8	13.4	0.35	14.8	15.0	-0.13
Grant Hill	87	85	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.27	3	5	-2	13.8	13.1	0.63	14.7	15.7	-0.95
Channing Frye	90	88	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.26	3	5	-2	13.6	14.2	-0.66	15.2	12.6	2.59
Jared Dudley	42	41	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	8	-8	12.7	14.3	-1.58	15.6	14.3	1.27
Goran Dragic	26	23	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	9	-10	13.0	13.9	-0.89	15.0	14.8	0.13
Hakim Warrick	33	30	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.10	-6	14	-20	14.6	13.2	1.43	14.1	15.2	-1.04
Robin Lopez	23	24	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	13	-18	13.4	13.7	-0.30	14.4	15.0	-0.64

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manny Harris	60	63	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.22	8	-16	24	14.3	15.7	-1.48	13.4	14.1	-0.71
Samardo Samuels	41	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.11	1	-9	10	16.0	14.1	1.89	12.9	14.2	-1.32
Alonzo Gee	43	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.01	-7	-1	-6	13.9	15.6	-1.71	12.9	14.3	-1.41
JJ Hickson	75	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-6	4	14.3	16.6	-2.37	14.3	11.8	2.47
Jamario Moon	59	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-4	0	15.5	14.0	1.50	13.9	13.3	0.58
Daniel Gibson	61	61	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	15.6	13.8	1.79	13.9	13.3	0.63
Antawn Jamison	82	81	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.20	-12	4	-16	14.9	14.6	0.30	13.8	13.3	0.42
Ramon Sessions	79	80	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.10	-18	10	-28	14.8	15.2	-0.42	13.7	13.6	0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.26,0.21,0.25,0.27,0.24,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.3,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 82, HOU 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.02,0	94.7%
IND 119, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.05,0,0,0	93.4%
HOU 88, DAL 83	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.32,0.24,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.12,0.06,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.06,0.15,0.25,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.01,0,0	93.4%