inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Phoenix Suns 98 Excitement3.5 [1145] MVPArron Afflalo (DEN): +22.4%
Denver Nuggets 132 Comeback3.5 [600] LVPJosh Childress (PHX): -8.9%


Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jared Dudley0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.00-0.03650%0.0500.002100%0.01
Marcin Gortat0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.050.000.01865%0.051-0.011100%0.00
Robin Lopez0.030,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01375%0.0300.002100%0.01
Garret Siler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.00-0.01329%0.0000.0010%0.00
Mickael Pietrus-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.00744%-0.0000.00475%0.00
Zabian Dowdell-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04629%-0.0000.002100%0.00
Goran Dragic-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.080.01-0.071041%-0.003-0.00771%-0.00
Vince Carter-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.00-0.010.001550%0.032-0.0500%0.00
Steve Nash-0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.020.03868%0.063-0.086100%0.03
Channing Frye-0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.021339%-0.011-0.022100%0.01
Hakim Warrick-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.000.00230%-0.0300.00650%-0.03
Josh Childress-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.03-0.02631%-0.062-0.03425%-0.05

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.220.220.300.030.101489%0.2200.007100%0.01
Carmelo Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.130.020.031764%0.141-0.021080%0.01
Ty Lawson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.01-0.02589%0.1140.00887%0.02
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.120.010.03688%0.1010.005100%0.01
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.000.02-0.04550%0.061-0.004100%0.02
Kenyon Martin0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.00-0.02560%0.0310.0000%0.00
Anthony Carter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shelden Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01546%0.0010.00367%0.00
Gary Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Andersen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0120%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Nene0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.02765%0.044-0.08333%-0.02
Al Harrington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.010.000.06948%-0.031-0.023100%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.535.416.427.31.541.6150.9
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +36.7%
DEN +15.7%
PHX -8.3%
DEN +7.1%
PHX -1.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsPHXDENNBAPHXDENNBA
this game15.013.815.598.0132.0105.7
season14.514.3108.0110.7
opponent15.515.7106.1109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
PHX14.616.616.413.015.0
DEN14.811.717.911.813.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Garret Siler14140.00-0.500.500.000-343413.415.3-1.9510.914.2-3.39
Zabian Dowdell2929-0.00-0.500.500.12-4-302613.015.8-2.8111.814.6-2.78
Mickael Pietrus3434-0.01-0.490.490.20-7-272012.816.2-3.4312.914.2-1.34
Marcin Gortat3937-0.01-0.490.480.37-13-21814.015.7-1.6513.613.9-0.32
Josh Childress5050-0.22-0.280.070.16-13-21816.014.11.9015.012.52.46
Channing Frye6463-0.22-0.280.060.28-17-17015.713.91.7415.111.53.67
Steve Nash5554-0.22-0.280.050.16-13-21815.814.11.7114.912.52.39
Robin Lopez2931-0.28-0.22-0.060.10-13-21816.414.51.9516.212.73.47
Vince Carter4545-0.34-0.16-0.190.07-14-20616.913.53.3414.313.31.02
Jared Dudley4142-0.40-0.10-0.300.42-28-6-2215.714.61.1514.013.60.44
Goran Dragic5455-0.40-0.10-0.300.33-25-9-1614.016.2-2.2412.315.5-3.21
Hakim Warrick4646-0.40-0.10-0.300.27-23-11-1214.415.5-1.1011.615.6-4.08

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ty Lawson54540.54-0.040.58-0.282862211.916.0-4.0514.915.2-0.31
Arron Afflalo79780.430.070.36-0.362772013.913.40.4915.712.82.89
J.R. Smith50490.400.100.30-0.332591612.714.9-2.1813.916.1-2.22
Nene49490.370.130.23-0.161816214.712.81.8916.413.72.78
Al Harrington44430.300.200.10-0.613132813.314.1-0.7715.214.90.23
Carmelo Anthony62640.170.33-0.16-0.391915415.211.53.6615.514.21.22
Chauncey Billups50500.140.36-0.22-0.211222-1015.512.03.4615.514.60.94
Chris Andersen17170.130.37-0.25-0.14925-1612.814.0-1.2115.514.90.53
Kenyon Martin36380.040.46-0.42-0.16727-2016.212.43.7415.914.51.35
Anthony Carter13130.000.50-0.500.06-236-3810.914.2-3.2713.815.2-1.45
Shelden Williams21210.000.50-0.500.06-236-3811.514.4-2.8412.215.8-3.53
Gary Forbes2524-0.010.51-0.510.05-236-3812.214.3-2.0911.816.1-4.26


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
NJN 81, CHI 1130.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
DEN 85, PHX 1010.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.28,0.26,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.84,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,195.6%
CLE 73, BOS 890.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.3%