NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	81		Excitement	3.2 [1106]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +14.1%
Chicago Bulls	113		Comeback	4.1 [418]		LVP	Robert Pack (NJN): -9.4%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.00	-0.04	13	73%	0.16	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.07	13	46%	0.04	2	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Lloyd Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yinka Dare	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	-0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	17	53%	0.02	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Ed O'Bannon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khalid Reeves	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	0.00
Xavier McDaniel	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Massenburg	-0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	45%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.01
Robert Pack	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.14	-0.00	-0.05	10	40%	-0.04	6	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	68%	0.05	1	0.00	7	71%	0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.06	8	69%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	18	60%	0.07	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	3	56%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Dennis Rodman	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Parish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.01	0.01	9	44%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dickey Simpkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.03	18	56%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.6	20.5	16.3	24.4	2.6	22.5	110.0
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +2.9%

CHI +14.2%

CHI +23.1%

CHI +10.3%

NJN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHI	NBA	NJN	CHI	NBA
this game	16.0	14.0	15.6	83.5	118.9	104.4
season	15.4	15.5		101.7	110.5
opponent	16.1	14.9		99.8	106.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	12.6	17.9	18.1	16.0	16.0
CHI	15.2	10.9	15.3	14.7	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yinka Dare	7	7	0.00	-0.51	0.51	-0.03	1	-33	34	16.1	16.0	0.15	16.4	13.8	2.64
Ed O'Bannon	17	16	-0.07	-0.44	0.37	0.02	-3	-29	26	14.5	16.3	-1.85	14.5	13.9	0.63
Kerry Kittles	84	81	-0.22	-0.29	0.07	0.43	-22	-10	-12	16.2	14.5	1.69	14.2	12.7	1.48
Khalid Reeves	14	15	-0.22	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-26	20	14.4	16.3	-1.84	15.3	13.7	1.61
Tony Massenburg	76	75	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.20	-15	-17	2	15.4	18.0	-2.61	14.5	12.0	2.44
Robert Pack	75	72	-0.29	-0.22	-0.07	0.27	-19	-13	-6	16.0	15.9	0.18	13.7	14.7	-0.95
Shawn Bradley	83	80	-0.33	-0.18	-0.15	0.44	-26	-6	-20	16.1	15.6	0.50	13.8	14.9	-1.13
Kendall Gill	60	60	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.24	-20	-12	-8	15.8	16.4	-0.57	13.5	14.9	-1.39
Lloyd Daniels	41	41	-0.39	-0.12	-0.27	0.38	-26	-6	-20	17.0	15.3	1.65	14.0	14.0	0.04
Xavier McDaniel	28	28	-0.44	-0.07	-0.37	0.26	-24	-8	-16	17.3	15.5	1.81	12.5	14.6	-2.10

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Toni Kukoc	52	52	0.53	-0.02	0.55	-0.38	31	1	30	13.2	14.9	-1.74	16.2	15.8	0.41
Michael Jordan	65	69	0.45	0.06	0.39	-0.11	19	13	6	13.6	14.7	-1.05	16.3	15.4	0.90
Jud Buechler	35	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.26	19	13	6	13.3	14.4	-1.05	15.6	16.2	-0.68
Randy Brown	45	47	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.56	29	3	26	13.7	14.2	-0.51	17.4	14.7	2.72
Jason Caffey	26	24	0.29	0.22	0.07	-0.03	11	21	-10	13.7	14.1	-0.45	14.7	16.4	-1.66
Scottie Pippen	66	68	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.18	15	17	-2	14.4	13.0	1.41	16.0	16.1	-0.15
Steve Kerr	36	34	0.25	0.26	-0.01	-0.31	19	13	6	14.1	13.9	0.12	15.1	16.5	-1.45
Dennis Rodman	57	61	0.21	0.30	-0.09	-0.12	11	21	-10	14.0	13.9	0.05	16.3	15.5	0.84
Robert Parish	12	12	0.01	0.50	-0.49	-0.28	10	22	-12	14.6	13.9	0.69	16.9	15.9	1.05
Dickey Simpkins	12	11	0.00	0.51	-0.51	-0.03	1	31	-30	14.7	13.9	0.88	15.0	16.1	-1.13
Bill Wennington	35	37	-0.02	0.53	-0.55	0.04	-2	34	-36	14.8	13.5	1.35	15.6	16.2	-0.57
Ron Harper	34	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	35	-38	14.8	13.5	1.27	15.4	16.3	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.32,0.33,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.72,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.77,0.89,0.92,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 73, BOS 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.84,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
PHX 98, DEN 132	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHI 72, MIA 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%