NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	108		Excitement	3.1 [1196]		MVP	Wesley Matthews (POR): +25.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	98		Comeback	1.1 [938]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): -4.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0.25	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.28	0.00	0.03	18	80%	0.25	1	-0.00	9	100%	0.02
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	20	60%	0.09	4	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00
Andre Miller	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	9	80%	0.08	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Fernandez	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	30%	-0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	15	28%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.17	0.00	0.11	15	81%	0.10	4	-0.04	7	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.03	5	83%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	18	47%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	9	42%	-0.01	1	-0.00	6	83%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	6	77%	0.03	4	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	-0.04	2	33%	-0.00	3	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	0.03	11	46%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	28.8	15.5	24.4	2.5	37.4	137.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +25.2%

POR +4.6%

POR +8.6%

POR +10.2%

POR +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIN	NBA	POR	MIN	NBA
this game	17.3	14.0	15.5	116.1	107.7	105.7
season	16.5	14.3		106.7	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.7		109.5	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.0	17.5	18.3	19.6	17.3
MIN	14.8	14.4	13.6	13.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Miller	71	72	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.11	11	-1	12	17.2	17.4	-0.12	13.9	14.5	-0.67
Wesley Matthews	80	78	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.17	9	1	8	16.6	21.6	-5.05	13.5	16.8	-3.32
LaMarcus Aldridge	76	75	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.11	11	-1	12	16.9	19.1	-2.19	13.7	15.4	-1.67
Marcus Camby	59	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	2	6	17.4	17.0	0.47	13.6	14.6	-0.94
Nicolas Batum	76	74	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.38	-3	13	-16	18.6	11.2	7.46	14.1	13.7	0.36
Rudy Fernandez	22	22	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.07	9	1	8	16.3	17.6	-1.30	15.0	13.7	1.26
Dante Cunningham	29	28	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	9	-8	17.8	17.0	0.81	14.9	13.6	1.29
Patty Mills	34	32	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	7	-4	16.7	17.6	-0.84	14.7	13.6	1.16
Joel Przybilla	18	17	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	9	-8	17.2	17.3	-0.06	14.8	13.8	1.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darko Milicic	29	32	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.20	3	-13	16	13.7	14.2	-0.51	20.3	15.7	4.59
Jonny Flynn	25	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-9	8	15.4	13.5	1.99	18.8	16.7	2.14
Martell Webster	45	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-10	10	14.1	13.9	0.26	17.3	17.2	0.07
Anthony Tolliver	39	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-10	10	14.1	13.9	0.13	17.9	16.7	1.18
Corey Brewer	53	55	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-13	16	13.4	14.8	-1.36	18.1	16.1	2.06
Kosta Koufos	30	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.08	-11	1	-12	13.4	14.3	-0.90	13.4	19.0	-5.60
Wesley Johnson	37	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.14	-15	5	-20	14.8	13.4	1.41	16.4	17.8	-1.39
Michael Beasley	56	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	3	-16	14.2	13.7	0.56	17.0	17.7	-0.76
Luke Ridnour	66	67	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-1	-8	13.5	15.4	-1.99	16.7	18.8	-2.14
Kevin Love	75	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	-3	-4	14.1	13.6	0.46	17.1	18.1	-0.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.34,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 108, ATL 93	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
SAS 107, ORL 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
DEN 138, SEA 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%