NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	103		Excitement	6.2 [577]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (NYK): +16.0%
Orlando Magic	112		Comeback	2.2 [929]		LVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): -27.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.08	0.05	22	57%	0.16	0	0.00	9	67%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15	0.16	0.02	0.02	19	66%	0.21	1	-0.06	6	67%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.02	0.02	7	94%	0.16	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Toney Douglas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	62%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	5	59%	0.03	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.02
Raymond Felton	-0.27	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.24	-0.07	-0.04	22	30%	-0.14	6	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.05	-0.00	8	78%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.06	-0.02	12	57%	0.14	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.05
Brandon Bass	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	8	70%	0.10	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	9	67%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Earl Clark	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.02	9	41%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.05
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	50%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	0.02	0.03	19	47%	0.00	5	-0.09	13	62%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.4	3.4	36.9	18.6	24.4	3.7	38.2	152.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +34.3%

NYK -16.1%

ORL +26.4%

ORL +3.0%

ORL +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ORL	NBA	NYK	ORL	NBA
this game	14.0	15.7	15.5	106.2	115.5	105.7
season	14.3	15.2		108.6	106.3
opponent	16.2	15.5		101.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.7	11.9	15.1	13.6	14.0
ORL	15.0	15.3	15.5	17.0	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	62	63	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-14	19	13.8	14.3	-0.52	16.5	14.2	2.32
Landry Fields	56	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-10	11	13.3	14.9	-1.56	16.7	14.4	2.29
Ronny Turiaf	12	12	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-3	-3	16.9	13.6	3.35	11.7	16.3	-4.52
Henry Walker	12	11	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.11	-12	3	-15	14.7	13.9	0.88	12.8	16.1	-3.26
Wilson Chandler	90	90	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-11	13	13.8	16.3	-2.49	16.1	10.9	5.23
Danilo Gallinari	84	83	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-8	7	13.5	17.3	-3.84	16.4	11.9	4.50
Raymond Felton	82	84	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-4	-1	13.9	14.6	-0.73	15.4	17.8	-2.38
Toney Douglas	40	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.08	-11	2	-13	15.2	13.1	2.12	15.2	16.1	-0.87
Shawne Williams	47	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.01	-18	9	-27	14.5	13.5	0.95	14.3	17.0	-2.76

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	74	74	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.09	21	-12	33	15.2	17.4	-2.26	13.6	15.1	-1.51
Gilbert Arenas	41	40	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.03	13	-4	17	15.2	16.1	-0.81	14.1	13.9	0.16
Dwight Howard	79	78	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.24	3	6	-3	15.7	15.6	0.12	14.3	12.8	1.41
Ryan Anderson	38	36	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	0	9	15.6	15.8	-0.13	15.0	13.4	1.58
Jason Richardson	72	72	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	6	-3	15.3	16.8	-1.52	13.9	14.3	-0.40
Hedo Turkoglu	76	77	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	11	-13	16.3	13.5	2.85	14.1	13.7	0.35
Brandon Bass	46	47	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	8	-7	16.3	15.1	1.21	13.9	14.0	-0.13
Jameer Nelson	56	57	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	13	-17	16.1	15.2	0.81	13.9	14.1	-0.16
Earl Clark	3	4	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	8	-7	13.3	15.8	-2.45	7.5	14.3	-6.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.85,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.9,0.92,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.91,0.69,0.85,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 123, MIN 131	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.81,0.95,0.92,0.98,1	94.1%
PHX 98, MIA 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.9,0.91,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.96,0.88,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	93.7%
GSW 101, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.82,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.88,0.73,0.86,0.98,1,1,1	93.5%