NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	112		Excitement	8.0 [238]		MVP	Paul Millsap (UTA): +55.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Comeback	28.4 [77]		LVP	Darko Milicic (MIN): -11.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.55	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.18,0.55	0.08	0.48	0.01	16	64%	0.63	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.03
Al Jefferson	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.27	0.03	0.24	-0.00	17	56%	0.39	3	-0.12	7	43%	-0.03
Gordon Hayward	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19	0.06	0.13	0.00	1	100%	0.19	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Earl Watson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrylo Fesenko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.04	0.01	7	73%	0.10	3	-0.10	8	87%	-0.00
Francisco Elson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.02	19	48%	0.03	3	-0.06	14	93%	0.05
Raja Bell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
CJ Miles	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	9	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.36	0.36	0.10	0.26	0.01	16	60%	0.38	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.01
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.15,0.13	0.13	-0.00	0.14	0.00	20	50%	0.21	4	-0.08	10	90%	0.03
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.02	0.00	12	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	87%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	3	12%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.12,0.12,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.00	9	67%	0.09	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.06
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	10	27%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.4	32.7	16.5	29.3	2.5	39.5	147.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +14.8%

UTA +43.4%

MIN -1.0%

MIN -6.1%

MIN -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIN	NBA	UTA	MIN	NBA
this game	13.9	13.9	15.5	108.7	102.9	105.7
season	15.9	14.3		106.4	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.3		109.5	108.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.8	14.8	13.6	11.8	13.9
MIN	13.5	13.4	14.6	14.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gordon Hayward	28	28	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.42	17	-12	29	11.7	14.8	-3.01	14.0	13.9	0.11
Al Jefferson	89	88	0.78	-0.28	1.05	0.34	15	-10	25	13.6	16.0	-2.38	14.2	12.2	1.93
Paul Millsap	69	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.48	4	1	3	13.9	14.0	-0.04	13.3	14.9	-1.60
Raja Bell	76	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	6	-7	13.5	15.1	-1.58	13.6	14.6	-0.94
Deron Williams	88	87	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	0	5	13.7	15.1	-1.32	13.9	14.1	-0.21
Earl Watson	17	18	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.02	5	0	5	15.6	13.6	1.97	14.3	13.8	0.54
Francisco Elson	9	11	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	9	-13	16.1	13.7	2.38	12.5	14.1	-1.60
Ronnie Price	8	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.04	-6	11	-17	18.1	13.6	4.54	13.1	14.0	-0.87
Kyrylo Fesenko	5	5	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.01	-6	11	-17	15.8	13.8	1.95	11.8	14.0	-2.19
CJ Miles	50	51	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.16	-1	6	-7	14.7	13.2	1.51	14.9	12.9	2.07
Andrei Kirilenko	76	77	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.13	-3	8	-11	14.1	13.6	0.52	13.9	13.8	0.14

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corey Brewer	26	25	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.03	9	-14	23	13.2	14.1	-0.92	15.4	13.5	1.98
Kosta Koufos	15	15	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.01	2	-7	9	14.9	13.7	1.15	14.7	13.8	0.93
Wayne Ellington	8	7	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-5	5	14.7	13.8	0.94	18.3	13.6	4.66
Jonny Flynn	30	31	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-3	1	13.7	14.0	-0.26	15.3	13.3	1.98
Darko Milicic	53	54	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	2	-9	13.8	13.9	-0.11	14.1	13.7	0.43
Kevin Love	85	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-2	-1	14.2	12.4	1.86	14.2	12.8	1.34
Michael Beasley	84	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.53	6	-11	17	13.4	16.1	-2.74	14.0	13.8	0.23
Luke Ridnour	74	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.40	-3	-2	-1	14.0	13.7	0.26	13.3	15.3	-1.98
Wesley Johnson	88	87	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.43	-8	3	-11	13.9	13.9	0.01	13.6	15.9	-2.29
Martell Webster	57	57	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.27	-19	14	-33	14.1	13.6	0.57	12.5	15.8	-3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.77,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 106, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.73,0	93.4%
DEN 84, NYK 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.73,0	93.3%
NYK 90, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.58,0	93.1%