NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	84		Excitement	7.8 [275]		MVP	Voshon Lenard (DEN): +54.5%
New York Knicks	83		Comeback	10.3 [34]		LVP	Mark Jackson (NYK): -46.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Voshon Lenard	0.55	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.55	0.09	0.45	-0.00	15	70%	0.61	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	7	53%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Zendon Hamilton	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.06	-0.11	0.02	-0.03	18	43%	-0.01	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.05
Ryan Bowen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Satterfield	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.03	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mengke Bateer	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.01	6	54%	-0.01	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	10	26%	-0.08	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
George McCloud	-0.31	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31,-0.31	-0.15	-0.16	0.00	13	29%	-0.23	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	-0.00	0.01	22	66%	0.15	3	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Travis Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.05	-0.03	7	37%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Felton Spencer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	13	44%	0.01	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Charlie Ward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	29%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lavor Postell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,-0.15	-0.15	-0.00	-0.16	-0.01	7	53%	-0.15	0	0.00	5	80%	0.04
Shandon Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22	-0.22	-0.14	-0.08	-0.00	8	27%	-0.14	2	-0.08	6	67%	-0.04
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.47	-0.47	-0.18	-0.30	-0.00	13	19%	-0.40	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.4	28.2	15.8	26.1	2.2	35.4	134.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +99.1%

NYK -21.3%

NYK -4.2%

NYK -22.7%

NYK -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	NYK	NBA	DEN	NYK	NBA
this game	16.4	16.0	15.6	93.3	94.3	102.3
season	16.1	15.9		99.7	99.6
opponent	15.6	15.2		103.9	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	16.7	15.1	14.7	19.7	16.4
NYK	14.5	14.3	18.0	17.2	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ryan Bowen	59	59	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.53	3	-2	5	16.9	15.5	1.35	16.2	15.4	0.86
Calbert Cheaney	77	75	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.53	-1	2	-3	15.8	19.7	-3.85	15.9	16.5	-0.59
George McCloud	76	74	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.51	-1	2	-3	15.8	19.4	-3.59	16.2	14.6	1.56
Juwan Howard	68	66	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.61	-5	6	-11	16.1	17.2	-1.03	15.8	16.3	-0.42
Donnell Harvey	49	48	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.29	4	-3	7	17.2	15.5	1.68	16.7	15.1	1.57
Voshon Lenard	46	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.01	10	-9	19	17.0	15.8	1.23	16.2	15.6	0.60
Chris Andersen	17	16	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.21	15	-14	29	16.4	16.4	0.01	16.3	15.9	0.44
Kenny Satterfield	16	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.01	-3	4	-7	19.1	15.8	3.31	14.5	16.3	-1.78
Zendon Hamilton	6	7	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	0.08	-9	10	-19	16.7	16.4	0.29	14.3	16.1	-1.81
Mengke Bateer	36	33	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	0.01	-8	9	-17	15.4	17.1	-1.64	14.8	16.7	-1.92

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Travis Knight	34	33	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.04	6	-7	13	16.2	15.8	0.46	18.2	15.4	2.81
Charlie Ward	38	37	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.11	-1	0	-1	15.4	16.4	-0.94	17.3	15.8	1.52
Felton Spencer	9	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.05	-3	2	-5	12.3	16.4	-4.03	11.8	17.0	-5.18
Lavor Postell	29	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	1	-3	14.7	16.6	-1.84	16.2	16.5	-0.35
Latrell Sprewell	76	78	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.49	7	-8	15	15.8	16.7	-0.82	16.0	19.1	-3.10
Kurt Thomas	66	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.57	2	-3	5	15.8	16.4	-0.55	16.2	17.0	-0.79
Mark Jackson	50	53	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.58	0	-1	1	16.4	15.4	0.94	15.8	17.3	-1.52
Clar. Weatherspoon	67	69	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.46	-7	6	-13	16.4	14.4	2.00	16.4	16.4	0.02
Shandon Anderson	71	72	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.47	-7	6	-13	16.6	13.4	3.22	16.9	14.2	2.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.86,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 112, MIN 107	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.86,0.8,0.81,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.87,0.75,0.93,0.77,0.72,0	93.3%
NYK 90, TOR 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.83,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.82,0.78,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.82,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.83,0.95,0.93,0.91,0.58,0	93.2%
DEN 106, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.71,0.7,0.69,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.8,0.76,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.8,0.77,0.86,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.73,0	92.5%