NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	82		Excitement	5.6 [730]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): +15.4%
New Jersey Nets	77		Comeback	1.4 [737]		LVP	Kris Humphries (NJN): -16.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.06	0.01	11	82%	0.19	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.02	11	66%	0.20	5	-0.09	7	100%	0.04
Elton Brand	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	14	50%	0.10	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Marreese Speights	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Battie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.01	13	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Thaddeus Young	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	9	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.04	-0.03	6	53%	0.12	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.02
Quinton Ross	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	0.04	11	62%	0.03	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Ben Uzoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	9	26%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	0.03	10	42%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	11	47%	-0.02	3	-0.07	8	62%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	17	41%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.04	-0.02	10	10%	-0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	2.3	28.8	14.4	28.4	1.5	35.4	135.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +58.3%

NJN -1.0%

NJN -22.0%

PHI +9.7%

PHI +5.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	NJN	NBA	PHI	NJN	NBA
this game	17.0	16.5	15.5	95.3	89.5	105.7
season	15.5	16.4		104.6	101.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		108.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.2	18.9	15.2	19.4	17.0
NJN	16.9	18.1	15.4	15.7	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jrue Holiday	69	67	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.32	14	-9	23	16.1	20.8	-4.72	16.7	15.6	1.12
Spencer Hawes	41	42	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.09	19	-14	33	18.1	16.0	2.12	17.9	15.1	2.84
Jodie Meeks	64	64	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.30	11	-6	17	16.8	17.6	-0.75	16.5	16.2	0.30
Andre Iguodala	72	72	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.24	9	-4	13	17.3	15.9	1.41	16.2	17.6	-1.42
Elton Brand	70	70	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.26	4	1	3	16.8	18.2	-1.42	15.8	19.5	-3.74
Marreese Speights	7	8	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.05	2	3	-1	22.0	16.6	5.41	21.0	16.0	5.01
Evan Turner	26	26	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	11	-17	17.5	16.8	0.72	18.0	15.8	2.16
Lou Williams	21	22	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	11	-17	19.3	16.3	2.98	15.6	16.7	-1.10
Tony Battie	26	25	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.12	-9	14	-23	15.9	17.5	-1.65	14.9	17.1	-2.22
Thaddeus Young	34	34	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	0.17	-13	18	-31	16.1	17.7	-1.57	15.4	17.1	-1.72

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Uzoh	13	13	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.03	2	-7	9	17.1	16.3	0.73	17.2	17.0	0.23
Derrick Favors	49	47	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.24	11	-16	27	15.5	17.7	-2.24	17.9	15.9	1.99
Johan Petro	20	19	0.08	-0.58	0.66	0.02	2	-7	9	17.6	16.1	1.56	19.3	16.4	2.86
Jordan Farmar	40	41	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.28	10	-15	25	14.4	18.2	-3.75	15.3	18.6	-3.24
Anthony Morrow	1	1	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-5	5	22.0	16.4	5.61	7.0	17.2	-10.15
Quinton Ross	29	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	0	-5	18.6	15.4	3.27	17.5	16.8	0.65
Travis Outlaw	59	61	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.36	-2	-3	1	15.3	18.9	-3.60	17.6	15.7	1.91
Stephen Graham	60	59	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.23	-7	2	-9	17.5	14.1	3.41	16.5	18.3	-1.78
Kris Humphries	37	37	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.02	-17	12	-29	18.1	15.2	2.86	17.3	16.8	0.46
Devin Harris	59	60	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.35	-10	5	-15	16.0	17.4	-1.44	17.5	16.0	1.48
Brook Lopez	63	65	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.38	-9	4	-13	16.4	16.5	-0.09	16.2	19.8	-3.61

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 95, LAC 85	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	94.2%
BOS 106, CHI 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.03,0.07,0.04,0,0,0,0	94.2%
SAS 94, UTA 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.41,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.16,0.12,0.03,0.04,0,0,0	94.0%