NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	95		Excitement	5.7 [697]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +27.8%
Los Angeles Clippers	85		Comeback	1.0 [454]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -10.8%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.28	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.23	0.08	0.03	22	73%	0.34	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Ray Allen	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.03	0.10	-0.01	20	47%	0.12	3	-0.05	9	78%	-0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Andreas Glyniadakis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	46%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Johan Petro	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.01	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	14	54%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	61%	0.07	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Daniel Ewing	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	45%	0.03	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Corey Maggette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	12	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.02	0.02	10	50%	0.03	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.04
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	13	43%	-0.05	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	33.5	15.4	23.3	2.4	29.4	128.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +24.4%

SEA +5.8%

SEA +2.0%

SEA +15.1%

SEA +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	LAC	NBA	SEA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.4	105.6	94.4	104.5
season	15.4	15.7		105.5	103.3
opponent	15.4	15.4		103.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.9	14.5	16.2	19.5	16.1
LAC	15.7	13.7	17.2	17.4	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	73	72	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.15	14	-4	18	16.1	16.4	-0.27	15.8	16.1	-0.24
Chris Wilcox	60	59	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.02	18	-8	26	15.3	17.7	-2.40	15.7	16.2	-0.45
Luke Ridnour	71	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.09	15	-5	20	15.4	18.8	-3.43	15.6	16.6	-1.01
Ray Allen	75	75	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	2	6	16.4	14.9	1.44	15.6	17.0	-1.36
Nick Collison	54	55	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.27	0	10	-10	16.7	15.2	1.52	16.0	15.6	0.44
Johan Petro	35	35	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.00	7	3	4	16.3	16.0	0.30	17.1	15.1	1.95
Earl Watson	30	31	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.10	-3	13	-16	17.0	15.7	1.25	16.5	15.6	0.89
Andreas Glyniadakis	30	30	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.13	-5	15	-20	16.2	16.1	0.05	15.0	16.3	-1.30
Damien Wilkins	22	23	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	14	-18	17.0	15.8	1.21	16.0	15.8	0.12

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	31	31	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.21	9	-19	28	16.1	15.7	0.35	17.1	15.6	1.42
Daniel Ewing	1	1	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.01	0	-10	10	0.0	16.0	-16.04	24.0	16.0	7.96
Corey Maggette	36	36	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-9	8	16.1	15.7	0.41	15.8	16.4	-0.59
Tim Thomas	63	61	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-11	12	16.1	15.4	0.66	16.5	15.4	1.06
Chris Kaman	76	78	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	16.1	14.8	1.28	16.2	15.8	0.35
Cuttino Mobley	44	44	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	0	-10	16.1	15.6	0.48	16.7	15.6	1.07
Quinton Ross	62	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	0	-10	15.5	16.8	-1.33	15.7	17.1	-1.36
Elton Brand	79	79	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.14	-13	3	-16	15.6	17.8	-2.22	16.0	17.0	-0.99
Sam Cassell	58	58	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.01	-19	9	-28	16.0	15.6	0.42	15.5	17.3	-1.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.24,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 111, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.3%
PHI 82, NJN 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.03,0,0	94.2%
HOU 86, MEM 80	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.27,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.33,0.4,0.48,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.24,0.33,0.21,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	94.1%