NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	6.6 [499]		MVP	Kirk Hinrich (WAS): +16.6%
Washington Wizards	95		Comeback	3.3 [489]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -20.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.04	0.02	5	84%	0.15	1	-0.03	9	100%	0.06
Landry Fields	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	7	55%	0.12	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Wilson Chandler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.03	9	89%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Timofey Mozgov	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05	-0.06	0.02	0.01	24	61%	0.24	11	-0.28	11	91%	0.06
Raymond Felton	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.13	0.01	-0.03	17	36%	0.01	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	10	35%	-0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.00	6	72%	0.17	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.05	0.04	13	59%	0.09	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
JaVale McGee	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	45%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	14	47%	0.03	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Al Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.04	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Gilbert Arenas	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.01	18	56%	0.03	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.18,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.08	0.01	14	27%	-0.17	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	28.4	0.1	42.3	2.6	37.6	138.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +26.1%

NYK +16.0%

NYK +4.1%

WAS -3.2%

NYK +6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	WAS	NBA	NYK	WAS	NBA
this game	14.5	14.3	15.5	101.0	95.0	105.7
season	14.3	15.1		108.6	100.9
opponent	15.2	15.5		108.7	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.9	14.5	13.9	15.7	14.5
WAS	14.9	15.5	13.8	13.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	87	88	0.66	-0.16	0.81	0.27	13	-7	20	14.3	15.8	-1.47	14.1	15.8	-1.73
Landry Fields	63	64	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.22	11	-5	16	14.2	15.0	-0.81	14.9	13.3	1.53
Danilo Gallinari	78	79	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.26	9	-3	12	14.3	15.0	-0.65	14.5	13.5	1.06
Wilson Chandler	86	85	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	0	6	13.9	18.0	-4.08	14.2	14.8	-0.58
Ronny Turiaf	29	30	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	5	-4	16.6	13.6	2.95	13.7	14.6	-0.82
Toney Douglas	54	54	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.19	3	3	0	15.2	13.6	1.59	13.9	14.7	-0.79
Raymond Felton	83	82	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	8	-10	14.2	15.7	-1.46	14.1	15.2	-1.04
Timofey Mozgov	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.02	-3	9	-12	14.2	14.5	-0.29	16.2	14.1	2.10
Shawne Williams	11	9	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	14	-22	16.2	14.3	1.90	15.2	14.2	1.00

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kirk Hinrich	47	47	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.17	6	-12	18	13.4	15.1	-1.75	15.1	13.9	1.16
Nick Young	68	67	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.37	11	-17	28	13.4	16.2	-2.76	15.3	12.9	2.36
Trevor Booker	14	13	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-3	0	11.9	14.7	-2.85	15.9	14.3	1.65
Yi Jianlian	31	33	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.19	1	-7	8	13.4	14.7	-1.38	16.1	13.7	2.34
Al Thornton	28	29	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	8	-22	16.7	13.4	3.39	13.0	15.1	-2.05
JaVale McGee	69	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.25	-4	-2	-2	15.3	12.2	3.07	14.0	15.5	-1.44
Andray Blatche	86	85	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	2	-10	14.3	14.4	-0.14	14.2	16.1	-1.93
Gilbert Arenas	81	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.24	-8	2	-10	14.0	15.7	-1.76	14.2	15.8	-1.64
John Wall	76	76	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.25	-11	5	-16	15.1	11.7	3.42	14.1	15.7	-1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 98, DET 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.42,0.3,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.03,0,0	93.4%
DET 125, PHI 111	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.02,0,0,0,0	93.0%
DAL 95, PHX 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.73,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.29,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.13,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.01,0	93.0%