NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	109		Excitement	3.4 [1154]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +14.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	114		Comeback	1.0 [1154]		LVP	Dorell Wright (GSW): -8.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.24	0.00	0.12	20	83%	0.20	5	-0.09	7	100%	0.02
Monta Ellis	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	21	59%	0.09	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01
Jeremy Lin	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Adrien	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	45%	0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	12	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	0.02	11	46%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Dorell Wright	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	17	33%	-0.06	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.02	-0.02	16	64%	0.17	2	-0.03	12	92%	0.03
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.00	0.03	10	83%	0.12	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.00	-0.05	15	49%	0.08	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	6	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nenad Krstic	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	43%	0.01	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Eric Maynor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	4	25%	-0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.11	0.00	-0.08	16	42%	0.04	5	-0.06	13	85%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	2.8	25.2	0.1	32.2	2.4	38.1	128.8
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +9.0%

OKC +19.8%

OKC +10.7%

OKC +8.2%

OKC +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	OKC	NBA	GSW	OKC	NBA
this game	14.1	14.6	15.5	107.9	114.0	105.7
season	14.8	15.0		106.6	108.8
opponent	15.6	15.2		105.4	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.0	15.5	14.7	12.3	14.1
OKC	12.7	15.8	13.5	16.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Gadzuric	11	10	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-7	9	12.5	14.3	-1.74	16.5	14.3	2.16
Jeff Adrien	22	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-7	9	15.3	13.8	1.50	15.0	14.4	0.56
Charlie Bell	14	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-3	1	16.4	13.7	2.70	16.3	14.3	2.02
Reggie Williams	49	49	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.45	12	-17	29	12.4	15.7	-3.20	15.2	13.9	1.30
Jeremy Lin	16	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-3	1	16.9	13.6	3.30	14.1	14.7	-0.60
Andris Biedrins	49	50	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-6	7	13.1	15.1	-2.02	15.2	14.0	1.20
David Lee	63	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	13	-31	15.3	12.1	3.20	13.4	16.6	-3.23
Monta Ellis	83	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	1	-7	13.8	15.7	-1.91	14.4	15.4	-1.01
Dorell Wright	101	100	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.35	-5	0	-5	14.1	0.0	14.10	14.6	0.0	14.56
Stephen Curry	97	96	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.25	-9	4	-13	14.1	14.5	-0.42	14.4	18.0	-3.58

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Russell Westbrook	82	81	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.21	8	-3	11	14.1	16.6	-2.43	13.9	15.1	-1.25
Kevin Durant	81	80	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	-5	15	14.0	16.9	-2.88	13.8	15.2	-1.38
Jeff Green	86	87	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	5	-5	14.8	12.8	2.06	14.0	14.6	-0.55
Thabo Sefolosha	76	77	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	5	-5	14.8	13.9	0.85	13.2	17.1	-3.91
Serge Ibaka	51	52	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.12	6	-1	7	14.9	14.2	0.70	15.1	13.0	2.13
Nenad Krstic	43	43	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.08	6	-1	7	14.6	14.5	0.08	13.5	14.5	-0.98
Royal Ivey	13	13	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	-1	7	12.8	14.8	-1.97	18.0	13.5	4.48
James Harden	50	52	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.35	-8	13	-21	14.7	14.4	0.28	14.5	13.7	0.83
Eric Maynor	18	20	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.14	-3	8	-11	16.6	14.1	2.43	15.1	13.9	1.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.69,0.73,0.79,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.85,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.91,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.82,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 76, VAN 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.73,0.78,0.83,0.83,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.87,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
ATL 89, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.61,0.69,0.69,0.78,0.76,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.3%
GSW 119, SAC 129	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.84,0.82,0.86,0.88,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%