NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	104		Excitement	7.8 [297]		MVP	Brian Cook (LAC): +16.3%
Denver Nuggets	109		Comeback	2.4 [840]		LVP	Blake Griffin (LAC): -16.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	7	81%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	83%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Craig Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.01	21	46%	-0.01	1	-0.04	10	90%	0.04
Ryan Gomes	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	8	45%	0.02	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Baron Davis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	9	38%	-0.06	2	-0.08	3	0%	-0.07
Blake Griffin	-0.16	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	18	41%	-0.02	5	-0.15	5	60%	-0.04

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.13	0.13	0.07	0.08	0.02	10	78%	0.27	5	-0.14	7	86%	0.02
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	6	92%	0.21	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	1	70%	0.06	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
Nene	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	55%	0.04	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.02
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	0.07	-0.01	18	48%	0.12	4	-0.09	18	72%	-0.02
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Gary Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0.02	9	61%	0.10	4	-0.14	10	90%	0.04
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.01	4	21%	-0.10	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	34.5	2.6	33.0	15.8	31.0	2.6	43.3	162.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +18.4%

DEN +25.7%

DEN +5.8%

DEN +0.5%

LAC -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DEN	NBA	LAC	DEN	NBA
this game	14.1	13.7	15.5	99.0	106.9	105.7
season	15.4	14.3		104.4	110.7
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.1	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.3	16.2	15.6	11.8	14.1
DEN	13.3	14.4	13.8	13.5	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	30	31	0.09	-0.59	0.67	0.03	2	-7	9	16.1	13.3	2.75	13.5	13.8	-0.33
Chris Kaman	30	29	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.11	5	-10	15	13.4	14.4	-1.03	12.1	14.3	-2.20
Eric Bledsoe	70	67	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-1	-3	15.6	11.1	4.49	13.6	13.9	-0.22
Craig Smith	15	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	13.9	14.1	-0.20	13.2	13.8	-0.56
DeAndre Jordan	36	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.09	-10	5	-15	16.7	12.7	3.98	14.1	13.5	0.62
Ryan Gomes	43	41	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-3	1	13.5	14.5	-1.00	12.3	14.6	-2.30
Rasual Butler	47	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-8	11	12.5	15.4	-2.96	14.1	13.4	0.63
Blake Griffin	88	87	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.32	-1	-4	3	14.2	13.6	0.62	14.0	12.3	1.70
Brian Cook	41	37	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-5	5	12.2	15.3	-3.13	14.4	13.3	1.12
Baron Davis	46	46	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-2	-1	11.6	16.1	-4.52	13.8	13.7	0.12
Eric Gordon	79	77	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.17	-11	6	-17	14.8	12.0	2.85	14.2	12.2	2.06

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	79	82	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.19	9	-4	13	13.1	15.7	-2.56	13.9	14.9	-0.98
Chauncey Billups	71	73	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.28	6	-1	7	13.7	13.8	-0.08	14.1	14.1	0.02
J.R. Smith	54	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	5	-5	13.3	14.2	-0.85	12.9	15.6	-2.70
Al Harrington	53	52	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.28	2	3	-1	13.0	14.5	-1.49	13.1	15.1	-1.92
Arron Afflalo	73	73	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	2	1	14.0	12.9	1.14	14.3	13.7	0.65
Chris Andersen	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.16	2	3	-1	13.6	13.8	-0.13	13.4	14.7	-1.34
Nene	50	53	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.18	1	4	-3	14.4	13.0	1.42	15.2	13.0	2.26
Shelden Williams	42	43	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.05	7	-2	9	13.9	13.6	0.28	16.8	12.2	4.59
Ty Lawson	33	35	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	7	-9	14.1	13.5	0.55	14.1	14.1	0.06
Gary Forbes	7	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	8	-11	18.1	13.4	4.75	11.7	14.3	-2.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.55,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.78,0.85,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.6,0.83,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 84, CHA 94	0.5,0.51,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.8,0.72,0.89,0.97,1,1,1	92.8%
MIL 82, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.52,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.8,0.87,0.95,0.89,1,1,1	92.7%
BKN 82, MIA 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1	92.6%