NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	84		Excitement	8.4 [191]		MVP	Travis Outlaw (NJN): +8.5%
Charlotte Bobcats	91		Comeback	1.4 [796]		LVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): -28.1%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Outlaw	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.08	0.02	17	52%	0.14	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.13
Quinton Ross	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ben Uzoh	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Murphy	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	6	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Graham	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damion James	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2	0.03	-0.18	0.04	18	50%	-0.18	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.21,-0.21	-0.05	-0.15	0.01	18	41%	-0.19	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	-0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.28,-0.28	-0.05	-0.22	0.01	10	43%	-0.16	2	-0.12	10	70%	-0.06

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	7	60%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.05	14	47%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.03	0.07	13	64%	0.13	5	-0.13	13	92%	0.03
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	0.02	-0.01	14	37%	0.00	4	-0.10	4	25%	-0.12
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	7	13%	-0.10	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	13	41%	0.01	4	-0.16	1	0%	-0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.03	-0.23	0.00	12	56%	-0.19	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.6	0.3	33.8	15.5	25.3	2.3	38.5	1.6	19.2	160.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +87.3%

NJN -34.6%

CHA +13.0%

NJN -20.9%

CHA +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	CHA	NBA	NJN	CHA	NBA
this game	15.7	14.9	15.5	80.8	87.5	105.7
season	16.4	16.2		101.6	102.3
opponent	15.5	15.3		106.5	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NJN	18.4	16.5	15.9	13.2	14.2	15.7
CHA	17.6	14.2	14.1	16.3	10.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	1	2	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.07	-2	-5	3	7.0	15.8	-8.76	10.5	15.0	-4.49
Troy Murphy	43	43	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.46	15	-22	37	14.6	16.4	-1.82	16.1	14.0	2.11
Kris Humphries	44	43	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.29	-11	4	-15	16.8	14.9	1.91	14.5	15.2	-0.67
Johan Petro	16	17	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-6	5	15.6	15.7	-0.06	15.6	14.8	0.82
Stephen Graham	9	10	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-4	1	16.6	15.6	0.97	19.8	14.4	5.42
Ben Uzoh	26	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.02	-6	-1	-5	18.3	14.8	3.51	14.8	14.9	-0.13
Derrick Favors	32	31	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.06	-5	-2	-3	16.8	15.2	1.60	14.3	15.2	-0.92
Damion James	33	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.24	1	-8	9	14.6	16.2	-1.61	14.8	15.0	-0.18
Jordan Farmar	78	78	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.21	-1	-6	5	14.8	18.3	-3.51	14.9	14.8	0.13
Anthony Morrow	84	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-4	1	16.3	13.1	3.19	15.2	13.9	1.31
Travis Outlaw	77	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.17	-11	4	-15	15.4	16.5	-1.14	14.0	17.8	-3.87
Brook Lopez	77	77	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.36	-8	1	-9	15.3	16.7	-1.44	14.7	15.4	-0.63

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boris Diaw	86	87	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-4	15	15.0	14.6	0.42	15.6	15.8	-0.18
D.J. Augustin	84	85	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.22	11	-4	15	14.2	17.7	-3.52	15.7	15.4	0.37
Gerald Wallace	84	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	-3	13	14.1	18.1	-4.02	15.3	17.2	-1.90
Nazr Mohammed	52	52	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.23	8	-1	9	16.2	13.6	2.54	16.8	14.6	2.23
Tyrus Thomas	43	42	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.27	2	5	-3	13.5	15.9	-2.33	15.3	15.9	-0.65
Stephen Jackson	89	88	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.17	5	2	3	14.9	14.7	0.20	15.5	16.4	-0.90
Kwame Brown	21	20	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	5	-3	12.6	15.5	-2.86	16.5	15.5	1.09
Shaun Livingston	25	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	11	-15	17.5	14.1	3.44	15.8	15.6	0.11
Dominic McGuire	36	38	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	0.03	-10	17	-27	17.4	13.6	3.76	15.1	16.0	-0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.5,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.75,0.78,0.86,0.79,0.83,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.89,0.72,0.86,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.46,0.55,0.69,0.75,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 84, WAS 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.85,0.91,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.59,1	91.5%
SEA 92, NOK 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.46,0.68,0.79,0.99,0.99,1	90.6%
TOR 104, WAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.92,1	89.6%