NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	104		Excitement	8.7 [130]		MVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): +23.3%
Washington Wizards	108		Comeback	3.2 [273]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -12.8%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Calderon	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23	0.15	0.06	-0.02	11	88%	0.27	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	-0.10	0.31	-0.01	16	25%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.08	0.04	9	89%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juan Dixon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.01	0.04	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05	0.02	-0.06	0.01	3	75%	0.04	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.09,0.01,-0.11,-0.07	0.15	-0.19	0.03	22	60%	-0.03	2	-0.04	18	78%	0.01
Joey Graham	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	7%	-0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrea Bargnani	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.04	-0.01	6	21%	-0.05	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	-0.01	16	61%	0.14	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.13	0.04	11	50%	0.12	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.05
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.12	-0.03	0.01	12	70%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	13	50%	0.19	1	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	8	47%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.17,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	25	43%	-0.01	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.6	2.4	27.8	15.0	25.2	2.5	38.2	1.6	18.2	153.6
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +5.4%

WAS +9.3%

WAS +54.3%

TOR -16.6%

TOR -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	NBA	TOR	WAS	NBA
this game	14.9	17.9	15.4	107.2	111.3	105.7
season	15.6	16.1		108.5	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.7		107.4	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	16.7	13.1	18.0	13.3	12.4	14.9
WAS	17.6	17.7	16.2	18.6	20.9	17.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	43	46	0.43	-0.93	1.37	-0.12	19	-23	42	13.5	16.1	-2.59	19.3	16.5	2.84
Andrea Bargnani	32	32	0.12	-0.62	0.74	0.03	3	-7	10	14.6	15.1	-0.45	17.7	17.9	-0.20
Joey Graham	12	12	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.09	4	-8	12	18.8	14.4	4.46	16.4	18.1	-1.64
Juan Dixon	19	21	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-5	6	14.3	15.1	-0.83	18.1	17.8	0.31
Rasho Nesterovic	9	8	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	1	-6	14.7	15.0	-0.29	16.4	18.0	-1.61
Carlos Delfino	43	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-4	4	15.3	14.6	0.76	16.7	18.8	-2.16
Jamario Moon	38	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.28	-18	14	-32	15.6	14.5	1.16	16.2	18.9	-2.66
Jose Calderon	79	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.32	-5	1	-6	15.1	14.1	1.07	17.8	18.1	-0.31
Chris Bosh	92	91	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.34	-8	4	-12	14.9	15.2	-0.29	18.0	16.3	1.62
Anthony Parker	75	75	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.36	-8	4	-12	15.0	14.6	0.38	17.8	18.2	-0.42
Kris Humphries	43	42	-0.74	0.24	-0.97	-0.65	-3	-1	-2	14.3	15.4	-1.08	19.7	16.5	3.19

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	75	75	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.34	13	-9	22	18.0	17.2	0.81	15.3	13.8	1.44
Antawn Jamison	94	94	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.35	7	-3	10	17.9	15.7	2.26	15.0	13.0	1.99
Dominic McGuire	36	35	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.58	-2	6	-8	20.8	16.1	4.73	15.1	14.8	0.29
Brendan Haywood	45	46	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	-7	18	17.9	17.8	0.02	16.6	13.4	3.24
Antonio Daniels	69	68	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.01	5	-1	6	17.1	19.8	-2.76	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Darius Songaila	24	24	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	7	-10	16.6	18.3	-1.64	14.0	15.2	-1.23
Roger Mason Jr.	58	58	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.26	-5	9	-14	17.0	19.2	-2.17	13.5	17.0	-3.47
Andray Blatche	63	64	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	4	-4	18.2	17.3	0.91	15.1	14.6	0.44
Oleksiy Pecherov	12	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.01	-2	6	-8	17.0	18.0	-0.98	14.9	14.9	-0.01
Nick Young	9	9	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.00	-4	8	-12	17.6	17.9	-0.33	13.7	15.1	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.5,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.57,0.66,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.87,0.82,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.69,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 91, IND 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.8,0.89,0.75,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.81,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.77,0.99,1	90.8%
PHX 100, SAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.41,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.75,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.74,0.7,0.7,0.8,0.91,0.9,0.76,0.83,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.94,0.97,1	90.3%
SEA 92, NOK 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.81,0.85,0.89,0.95,0.94,0.9,0.94,0.91,0.88,0.83,0.8,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.77,0.85,0.46,0.68,0.79,0.99,0.99,1	90.0%