NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	99		Excitement	8.0 [248]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +45.3%
Houston Rockets	109		Comeback	6.8 [114]		LVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): -20.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0.23	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.05	-0.02	16	74%	0.25	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Barnes	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.11	-0.01	8	70%	0.25	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Shannon Brown	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	7	61%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Kobe Bryant	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.03	0.00	0.05	0.02	24	49%	0.09	2	-0.06	7	100%	0.08
Derrick Caracter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Steve Blake	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	8	40%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Derek Fisher	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	9	28%	-0.15	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,0.27,0.39,0.45	0.45	0.15	0.31	0.00	7	100%	0.58	2	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	-0.00	4	80%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brad Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	17	50%	0.15	2	-0.08	10	100%	0.07
Luis Scola	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.04	0.01	11	58%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.03
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.02	5	73%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	7	53%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.06	0.02	9	50%	-0.05	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	1.8	27.6	15.0	26.2	2.5	36.6	133.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +75.5%

LAL -11.9%

LAL -12.0%

LAL -6.8%

HOU +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	HOU	NBA	LAL	HOU	NBA
this game	16.6	15.2	15.5	110.0	119.8	105.7
season	15.9	15.2		108.8	109.5
opponent	14.9	15.5		107.5	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.2	17.6	16.2	17.4	16.6
HOU	16.7	13.7	17.3	13.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	38	38	0.37	-0.87	1.24	0.08	10	-20	30	17.2	16.2	0.95	16.5	14.3	2.24
Steve Blake	38	39	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.09	3	-13	16	16.9	16.4	0.50	16.1	14.5	1.58
Derrick Caracter	17	16	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.06	3	-13	16	17.5	16.4	1.10	15.3	15.2	0.14
Metta World Peace	30	31	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-9	8	17.1	16.4	0.65	15.8	14.9	0.97
Matt Barnes	58	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-7	4	16.2	17.3	-1.10	15.0	15.6	-0.59
Pau Gasol	73	75	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.27	-13	3	-16	16.4	17.5	-1.10	15.2	15.3	-0.14
Lamar Odom	84	85	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.19	-16	6	-22	16.5	17.8	-1.29	15.0	17.8	-2.82
Derek Fisher	52	52	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.29	-13	3	-16	16.4	16.9	-0.50	14.5	16.1	-1.58
Kobe Bryant	60	61	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.35	-20	10	-30	16.6	16.8	-0.20	14.5	16.6	-2.04

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	53	53	0.96	-0.46	1.41	0.31	22	-12	34	14.2	16.6	-2.37	16.6	16.6	0.02
Luis Scola	62	61	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.30	21	-11	32	14.8	16.1	-1.33	16.2	17.6	-1.36
Shane Battier	54	53	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.30	19	-9	28	14.1	16.8	-2.63	16.4	16.9	-0.48
Kyle Lowry	68	67	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.23	18	-8	26	15.1	15.4	-0.26	16.3	17.5	-1.13
Jordan Hill	50	51	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	9	-8	15.6	14.7	0.85	17.1	16.0	1.07
Charles Hayes	41	39	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.04	9	1	8	14.7	15.6	-0.85	16.0	17.1	-1.07
Ish Smith	23	23	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.02	-8	18	-26	15.4	15.1	0.26	17.5	16.3	1.13
Courtney Lee	38	37	-0.38	0.88	-1.25	-0.11	-9	19	-28	16.6	14.2	2.37	16.6	16.6	-0.02
Brad Miller	29	29	-0.42	0.92	-1.34	-0.10	-11	21	-32	16.1	14.8	1.33	17.6	16.2	1.36
Chase Budinger	37	37	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.09	-12	22	-34	16.8	14.1	2.63	16.9	16.4	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.3,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.39,0.47,0.29,0.67,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 93, DAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.27,0.39,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.42,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.33,0.45,0.55,0.57,0.96,1	91.3%
NYK 74, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.41,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.41,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.57,0.91,1	90.8%
UTA 94, OKC 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.4,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.26,0.2,0.55,0.77,0.72,1	90.4%