NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	104		Excitement	4.8 [896]		MVP	Dorell Wright (GSW): +33.4%
Minnesota Timberwolves	94		Comeback	2.0 [413]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -11.0%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dorell Wright	0.33	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.26	0.09	0.02	15	94%	0.36	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Stephen Curry	0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.02	0.02	10	74%	0.15	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Dan Gadzuric	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Bell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Monta Ellis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	20	54%	0.06	3	-0.05	8	62%	-0.03
Jeff Adrien	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Carney	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	15	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	6	17%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	16	51%	0.07	0	0.00	9	100%	0.04
Anthony Tolliver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	57%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	40%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	0.02	25	49%	0.05	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.02
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	0.03	10	67%	0.09	5	-0.13	4	100%	0.01
Darko Milicic	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	10	41%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.00
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	6	38%	-0.03	2	-0.06	1	100%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	-0.04	4	0%	-0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	32.5	16.5	28.6	1.8	32.2	137.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +36.9%

MIN -2.1%

MIN -13.8%

GSW +32.2%

MIN -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	16.0	14.8	15.5	110.6	101.1	105.7
season	14.8	14.3		106.6	102.7
opponent	15.1	15.2		109.5	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	15.4	15.1	16.4	17.1	16.0
MIN	15.2	16.2	14.2	13.5	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	84	83	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.15	14	-4	18	16.1	15.7	0.36	14.7	15.3	-0.59
Stephen Curry	54	54	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.09	16	-6	22	15.9	16.2	-0.40	14.2	15.5	-1.27
Dorell Wright	87	87	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.15	13	-3	16	16.0	16.3	-0.29	14.8	14.5	0.29
Dan Gadzuric	35	35	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.01	18	-8	26	16.6	15.7	0.97	13.3	15.7	-2.39
Monta Ellis	94	93	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.21	10	0	10	16.0	0.0	16.02	14.8	0.0	14.77
Andris Biedrins	48	47	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.16	1	9	-8	15.9	16.2	-0.30	15.4	14.2	1.19
Reggie Williams	32	30	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.21	-7	17	-24	15.4	16.3	-0.89	15.2	14.6	0.63
Jeff Adrien	12	12	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	13	-16	12.0	16.6	-4.61	16.5	14.5	1.98
Charlie Bell	12	12	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	14	-18	17.7	15.8	1.89	16.1	14.6	1.50
Rodney Carney	12	12	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.02	-8	18	-26	19.4	15.5	3.89	15.4	14.7	0.74

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	38	40	0.14	-0.65	0.79	-0.21	12	-22	34	16.1	13.9	2.25	15.3	16.6	-1.26
Wayne Ellington	26	28	0.10	-0.60	0.71	-0.16	9	-19	28	14.6	14.9	-0.27	16.7	15.7	1.04
Kosta Koufos	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.00	0	-10	10	15.0	14.8	0.24	12.0	16.2	-4.15
Sebastian Telfair	21	23	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.03	-9	-1	-8	16.1	14.4	1.77	15.4	16.2	-0.83
Luke Ridnour	72	71	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-9	8	14.4	16.1	-1.77	16.2	15.4	0.83
Corey Brewer	52	53	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.25	-2	-8	6	15.1	14.3	0.82	15.9	16.1	-0.22
Wesley Johnson	42	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	5	-20	15.1	14.5	0.54	15.6	16.4	-0.85
Michael Beasley	69	68	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.06	-12	2	-14	14.4	15.9	-1.54	16.2	15.5	0.77
Kevin Love	82	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.20	-8	-2	-6	14.6	16.4	-1.80	16.4	13.7	2.70
Darko Milicic	59	60	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.00	-24	14	-38	14.2	15.7	-1.51	16.0	16.0	0.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 118, DAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
ATL 101, IND 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.5,0.49,0.4,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%
UTA 92, VAN 73	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	94.3%