inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 118 Excitement5.4 [779] MVPDorian Finney-Smith (DAL): +14.4%
Dallas Mavericks 106 Comeback2.0 [308] LVPLuka Doncic (DAL): -15.3%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Lance Thomas0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.080.030.01483%0.1100.004100%0.02
Mario Hezonja0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.090.010.00773%0.1000.0010%-0.01
Enes Kanter0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.03-0.00772%0.111-0.02475%0.00
Mitchell Robinson0.080,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.100.020.04681%0.0800.00475%-0.01
Allonzo Trier0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.150.010.071085%0.113-0.03786%-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.0.050,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.02-0.011753%0.092-0.0400%0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00560%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Trey Burke-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Noah Vonleh-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.010.00444%0.011-0.0310%-0.02
Damyean Dotson-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.05-0.02-0.051339%-0.001-0.0220%-0.01
Frank Ntilikina-0.130,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.08-0.050.00837%-0.063-0.073100%0.00

Dallas Mavericks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dorian Finney-Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.150.010.021086%0.151-0.01250%-0.01
Dwight Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.070.010.01580%0.0700.0000%0.00
Maxi Kleber0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.01-0.00764%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jalen Brunson00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Harrison Barnes0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.04-0.02-0.041441%0.032-0.05683%0.01
DeAndre Jordan0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01540%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.00-0.010.03653%-0.021-0.02580%-0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.00-0.050.021461%0.086-0.141050%-0.07
J.J. Barea0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.00520%-0.052-0.0400%0.00
Luka Doncic0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.150.01-0.060.101558%-0.034-0.1210%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.22.426.714.627.22.434.5134.2
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +22.4%
NYK +4.6%
DAL -0.3%
NYK +24.1%
DAL -0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKDALNBANYKDALNBA
this game16.014.214.3122.9111.6109.3
season14.514.7103.8108.5
opponent14.114.1109.7112.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
NYK14.716.815.517.116.0
DAL13.514.513.914.914.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damyean Dotson73710.52-0.020.53-0.0118-62415.716.8-1.0614.313.70.67
Tim Hardaway Jr.66670.460.040.420.17102815.816.4-0.6614.513.31.25
Lance Thomas36350.410.090.330.091111015.216.4-1.2113.914.3-0.49
Mitchell Robinson67660.390.110.270.1293615.916.1-0.1814.613.11.53
Frank Ntilikina64630.360.140.220.1575215.616.7-1.0614.413.60.82
Enes Kanter41400.190.31-0.120.0748-416.215.80.4213.814.4-0.59
Allonzo Trier47480.150.35-0.200.12111-1016.915.11.7113.714.7-0.97
Emmanuel Mudiay32320.140.36-0.22-0.0157-216.715.61.0613.614.4-0.82
Noah Vonleh21210.040.46-0.43-0.0848-415.916.0-0.1014.214.20.03
Mario Hezonja1818-0.040.54-0.570.05-315-1816.315.90.3714.114.2-0.07
Trey Burke1514-0.120.62-0.740.06-618-2416.515.90.6612.814.4-1.62

Dallas Mavericks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jalen Brunson770.13-0.630.77-0.015-172213.614.2-0.6417.715.81.87
Dwight Powell3232-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-8413.214.6-1.3816.115.90.22
Maxi Kleber2827-0.16-0.340.18-0.01-5-7213.614.4-0.8015.616.1-0.49
Dennis Smith Jr.6163-0.18-0.320.14-0.09-3-9614.413.80.5416.315.40.89
J.J. Barea3232-0.20-0.300.10-0.08-4-8413.614.4-0.8215.216.4-1.14
Dorian Finney-Smith5353-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.20-4-8414.613.61.0716.016.00.00
Harrison Barnes6870-0.34-0.16-0.18-0.14-7-5-214.313.90.3416.215.40.82
DeAndre Jordan6263-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.12-8-4-414.813.01.7915.816.3-0.49
Luka Doncic6769-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.12-10-2-814.613.11.4515.716.6-0.90
Wesley Matthews6564-0.530.03-0.560.06-208-2813.515.6-2.1416.115.70.48


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 104, MIN 940.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.23,0.28,0.19,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,095.0%
CLE 109, NJN 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.17,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.12,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.4%
DET 124, PHI 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%